Category Archives: Education

Q 2 2013 J.K. Financial, Inc. Newsletter Topics with Video Summary…….The Masters

It is finally here…..Our newsletter has been posted on our company website here and paper copies should be in your mailbox soon if not already. This Quarterly newsletter was light on heavy technical topics and heavy on longer term planning issues. We hope you enjoy.

Q 2 2013 J.K. Financial, Inc. Newsletter Key Topics

  • Currency as an Asset Class
  • Paper Certificates go the way of the Buggy Whip
  • Why you should be on the email list for this site (http://www.street-cents.com)
  • CFA Forecast Dinner Review (17 points for our electronic Diary)
  • If you have a Pension you have a decision and it’s irrevocable

A few personal points by John Kvale

Lastly, those who follow us, know we love The Masters…it starts the spring season and is great viewing (might even take over the normal tennis that is on every night at my house)….Hope you enjoy as much as us…it starts tom0rrow !!

Have a great day!

John Kvale

http://www.jkfinancialinc.com
8222 Douglas Ave # 590
Dallas, TX 75225
214-706-4300

Vote of Confidence….SEC says “OK” to Twitter, Facebook and others….J.K. Financial, Inc. Opens Comments

As we first stumbled into our writings several years ago (raw then…we are learning now…..some may say still raw…..numbers people…haha), comments here on our site, were, and have been, turned off, UNTIL NOW.  The SEC, embracing social technology, has changed their view and ours!Comment

www.street-cents.com Comments are turned on!

In a sign of the times, the SEC has allowed publicly traded companies to begin sending information via twitter (we are huge fans and have a network of folks we follow) Facebook and other social sites. Certainly this is a game changer of confidence and a sign of the times.

You may be asking why so late?

We are conservative by nature, and as such would rather be safe than sorry.  Holding off on comments until greater acceptance gave us comfort until social gained further acceptance.

Our promise to you on your comments

If a comment adds value to a post or is with merit, reasonable, and polite, it will be posted.  If a question is asked we will have a personal professional answer by one of us.

So let the comments begin, we look forward to your thoughts!

Have a Great Day!

John Kvale

http://www.jkfinancialinc.com
8222 Douglas Ave # 590
Dallas, TX 75225
214-706-4300

Sudden Increase In Identity Theft……Protection and Defense

Our comments and ideas many times come from you……. So thanks in advance……When we see multiple issues of similar nature coming to the forefront, especially given our 20+ United States reach of clients and friends, we sit up and take note.Thief

Identity theft is back on the rise

While we are not sure what the reasoning, we have had multiple contacts recently experiencing identity theft and other malicious events. The good news is  none of our contacts have lost any money, only inconvenienced.

As a former triple complete identity theft victim (not lost a penny), I can vouch for the troubles that such an experience can have. Multiple times my credit cards have been completely and embarrassingly shut off due to security concerns. I have never complained to my carrier as the alternative is not something I want to even think about.

Popular Identity Theft Techniques

Here is what were a seeing in order of magnitude relating to financial issues:

  • Outright clone/theft of an individual (Usually involves a credit card issuer, but can be a complete attempted cloning)
  • Opening of new fabricated credit lines (Thief attempts to open a line of credit in another person’s name)
  • Email hijacking (Loss of control of ones email, thereby opening prior email messages to malicious review)

 Preventative Measures for Identity Theft

While there is no 100% certain way to complete prevention, here are a few good ideas for safety along with some recommendations for future use:

  • Monitor your credit lines and if you see suspicious activity, act swiftly (We have even learned of a code word some credit carriers are using for additional security…great idea)
  • If you have an issue consider a credit monitoring service for 6-12 months (Careful as these services can be expensive)
  • Do not send your social and passwords with the names in the body of the email (If you send an email that says, here is my social in the heading, you are asking for trouble. If this situation arises out of necessity send it without the descriptive term…better yet, call!)
  • Change all of your passwords occasionally, make them hard, and use a symbol (There are only 26 letters in the alphabet adding a symbol increases your protection)
  • Use common sense…If in doubt, or your suspicious flag is raised, take a moment to make sure all is correct before you move forward
  • Do not be paranoid, but do be suspicious…it may save you trouble

Usually we warn and remind of potential issues when schools lets out for the summer as we have experienced the most issues during this time….idle minds…Recently, for some reason there has been a spike in activity early this year….so keep your eyes, ears, and fingers open and alert!

Have a Great Monday!

JK

PS A $10 misspelled cookie word last week…self inflicted and caught…RATS!!!

PSS Rock and Roll was never supposed to be this cold….brrrrr on Sunday…and very sore….must have asked too much in Friday’s post

PSSS Cyprus…..the little country that could disrupt, looks to give markets an upward push….puzzlingly good!

PSSSS Playing Mr. Mom much of the day as the wife has a sick relative….working from home much of the day!

214-706-4300
http://www.jkfinancialinc.com
8222 Douglas Ave # 590
Dallas, TX 75225

“Mini Me” Options start trading today….worth a WATCH

We are avid fans of options and continue to enjoy the flexibility, increased liquidity and availability that the Chicago Board of Options Exchanges (CBOE) and other options organizations are making available.

Meet ”Mini Me” options available today

Today a new partial share (We nick named Mini Me) options are being rolled out on several exchanges for the following investments, Google (GOOG) , Gold (GLD), SPY (S&P 500), Amazon (AMZN) and  Apple (AAPL).Mini Me

Higher price is the common theme and the purpose of the “Mini Me”

These first few test cases are of higher priced issues and while we do not think Berkshire Hathaway will be next on the stage, we are very interested to monitor the popularity of this initial rollout. As a refresher, normal option contracts are a 1/100 ratio, meaning 1 option contract represents 100 shares. On higher prices securities, such as the ones being tested, even 1 option contract can be a big chunk of change.

Sharks in the “Mini me” water today enter real money at your own risk…Watch only!

Today’s as well as the foreseeable future, trading should, and will be, done by market makers, short term traders and professionals. Your money will be happily and quickly taken in this early trading if you dive in, as such, stay out of the water, for now!

Have a Great Monday!

JK

214-706-4300
http://www.jkfinancialinc.com
8222 Douglas Ave # 590
Dallas, TX 75225

Is the time correct to make your 401k an Aggressive beast?

If you have been reading our work long you know we are conservative by nature, constantly worry about risk, and attempt to diversify as many problems away/offset as possible. So it might surprise you that we encourage risk under certain scenarios, and possibly even more surprising, our “Aggressive Beast” portfolio is often pointed towards the sacred 401k or similar contributory retirement plan. 

There are times when it makes sense to have your 401k or other similar directed contribution retirement plan as aggressive as possible. Hulk-Beast

 Here are the most likely situations: 

  1. A new plan to you that has little or no assets that you may just be beginning contribution
  2. Your/matching/company contributions are making up a large portion of the account today, on a current basis
  3. Good or reasonably good investment options/allocations 

Here are a couple of important rules:

  1. If you add gasoline, make sure you are watching the fire… i.e. Do not put your retirement plan on autopilot and forget about it, as that can do more damage than good. If you decide to start out aggressive it will need more attention and eventually a more conservative allocation as the account grows in size.
  2. Must be easily and quickly adjustable; we still find plans today that are very restrictive in the adjustment of investments, in some cases ONLY annual changes.  In these cases, a 401k beast allocation may not be correct.
  3. Take special notice when fund choices are exchanged. While this is a good idea in any situation, it is especially important when you have created an aggressive beast allocation for your 401k. A major fund change may throw your allocation out of whack, take note when announcements are made and adjust as necessary.
  4. Fund the plan evenly throughout the year. We encourage this in most all situations, but the importance is magnified when you have a beast 401k allocation as the volatility is your friend and even contributions are helpful over the long run.

 So there you have it.

It’s ok to release the beast in aggressive allocations in specific situations, but always be careful and make sure you follow the rules above

Have a Great day! 

JK

214-706-4300
http://www.jkfinancialinc.com
8222 Douglas Ave Suite 590
Dallas, TX 75225

Politics and Money…ever wonder where it comes from or goes? You can tell here !

If you have been reading our writings long you know we are careful not to tread too far in either direction on politics as it is just a losing game. Recently we ran across and interesting site that you might want to review since it is the season.

The Federal Election Commission,  created in 1975 by congress has the following Mission and History:

…to administer and enforce the Federal Election Campaign Act (FECA) – the statute that governs the financing of federal elections. The duties of the FEC, which is an independent regulatory agency, are to disclose campaign finance information, to enforce the provisions of the law such as the limits and prohibitions on contributions, and to oversee the public funding of Presidential elections.

In addition to some snazzy graphs and charts (we love graphs and charts) there are several frequently asked question areas that may help as we tick down to election day.

Speaking of snazzy…here is a snazzy election donation tracking money map to whet your appetite:

If you have a spare moment and a curious thought, take a look at the site, it will be worth your time.

Have a Great Day!

JK

214-706-4300
http://www.jkfinancialinc.com
8222 Douglas Ave # 590
Dallas, TX 75225

Handy trick if you are in a jam…If you have a cell phone, you have a fax machine

To get your week off to an easy start, we thought it might be helpful to share a new trick we have found great use lately. If you find yourself in need of faxing a document or other type of information that requires quick action, try using your cell phone camera.

We have been successful in helping folks who need to quickly submit a financial document or other similar related item fast, by using their cell phone camera’s. Long documents are not a good idea for obvious reasons, but a quick snap and an email photo might do the job if you need fast action on short notice!!

We have also found most greatly enjoy our new Docusign system, which is more comprehensive and encrypted.

Have a Great Monday!

JK

214-706-4300

www.jkfinancialinc.com

8222 Douglas Ave # 590

Dallas, TX 75225

Your Tax Payers Dollars Hard at Work (REALLY..Not kidding) …..Last weekend of freedom

There is a somber mood at the Kvale homestead this Friday and heading into the weekend. With the last weekend of freedom ticking down (school starts Monday) and sleep schedules about to be righted, a positive, interesting new tool from our Government crossed my desk this week, and I thought it worth mentioning. Yes, our tax dollars are well at work on this one.

A new site called Geo.Data.Gov at this link has some neat feature worth reviewing.

Data.Gov/Cities

Here are a few of the features:

  1. Fun family park locations
  2. Dining ratings
  3. Open parking spaces
  4. Generic public requests such as White House Visitor and Overseas Loan requests, just to name a few

While still a work in progress and far from perfect, there are a few areas of this site that might be worth your review, especially if your home is as somber as ours is expected to be this weekend.

Have a Great Weekend and a Super Day!

JK

PS Somehow I managed to be on a plane for about half of the weekend…luck or chance ??

214-706-4300

http://www.jkfinancialinc.com

8222 Douglas Ave # 590

Dallas, TX 75225

When critical of their own, we listen up!

Just as a Ford dealership representative will not have much good to say about a Chevrolet, an investment parallel, Bill Gross, the largest bond fund manager in the world, will rarely say interest rates are going up, which will hurt his position.

We take note when someone is critical of their own wheelhouse. Recently Rupal Bhansali of Ariel investments was critical of her specialty, Emerging Markets. Our ears perk up when this happens, as while we do like this asset class, and have exposure, we have concerns on the overzealous money flows going into this asset class, taming our appetite for further allocation to this investment class.  Remember when something is overhyped, or too popular, we tend to become skeptical (Zigg when other Zagg.) When someone is critical of their own, we give it more credence as there are very few reasons other than honesty as far as we can tell.

Here are a couple of Mrs. Bhansali’s main points:

  1. Common misconception that there area a lot of excess returns to be garnered because the growth rates are high. She says not true, see next point!
  2. Correlation between GDP growth and returns are good especially in Emerging Markets–NOT TRUE according to Rupal
  3. Risk and returns are adequately compensated – Not so according to Rupal …there is major liquidity risk. Developed markets have $23 trillion of market capitalization compared to Emerging Market’s $3 trillion market capitalization…cash flows into and out of this asset class will dramatically move the market as they cannot absorb this movement  (This is our main concern as well)
  4. Investing in Emerging Markets especially the commodity based areas, Rupal recommends investing at high PE or low earnings cycle due to the deep cyclical nature, THIS IS NOT THE CASE TODAY–ACTUALLY THE OPPOSITE as PE’s are low
  5. In the next decade, it is very possible that developed countries will outperform Emerging Markets, due to current elevated Emerging Market values (Buying at the correct time is critical)
  6. Japan and Switzerland are Rupal’s stealth favorite longer term investments

Thanks for the critical pointers of her own area of expertise, we like candid honesty as it is often so hard to find and will continue to monitor her statements.

HHH (Happy Honest Hump Day!)

JK

214-706-4300   http://www.jkfinancialinc.com

One chart of 1000 words explaining the Housing situation

Occasionally we run into data, a quote, or a chart that explains more than we can ever say, especially for those fellow visual folks, such as myself. The attached chart is from The Chartstore and oddly, after reviewed this on a weekly basis for months, it finally hit me what it was showing.

In an attempt to most certainly shorten the time frame for your aha moment (haha) here are the high points that finally pushed me over the edge and into clarity:

  1. This chart commences in 1945, US resident population approximately 150 million
  2. Peak housing starts occurred in 1973-1974 time frame, just before the strongest recession in memory, at that time, US resident population 210 million
  3. Secondary peak housing starts occur in 2007 just missing the prior 1974  high of annual starts by 200k, US resident population 310 million (home ownership is smaller as a percentage at this time)
  4. 1974 Peak occurred in a 3 year time frame (trough to peak)
  5. 2007 Peak occurred in a 17 year time frame (trough to peak) …. no wonder everyone said it was different this time
  6. An 80% drop occurred from 2007 until the bottom in housing starts a few years later…..think of the implications (economic, employment, productivity, inventory) of an 80% drop !

Conclusion: Just like a wreck of any kind, there are multiple reasons for such an occurence and no one party is to blame especially given normal economic cycles which are here to stay and cannot be thwarted.

Have a Great Aha Monday!

JK

PS I am traveling out-of-town!

214-706-4300

http://www.jkfinancialinc.com