Earnings, Interest Rates, Summer Friday

With over 150 S&P 500 companies reporting this week the picture grows clearer on the US Economy. Much of the same, slow growth, low sales and high margins achieved by productivity enhancements and slow hiring.

Earnings Scorecard

So far so good, while there have been a few large company misses, generally we are still comfortable with our projections from the beginning of the year of $105 in earnings for the S&P 500. What continues to surprise us is investor enthusiasm pushing the P/E multiple to near 17..noseblead levels, in our opinion given a slow growth assumption. Still Frothy…but we can grow into it…by going sideways.

Interest Rates, Still the story

Rates have begun ticking back up, putting pressure on most markets across the world. I have been working on a complex and simple analysis of where interest rates may go. While not complete, sharing will come soon. Briefly, and as a teaser with rates at 2.60% currently this analysis shows they may go much higher.

Summer Friday

Aloha FridayWe have some exciting posts for next week, that we think are very neat……But Ahhh…..today is another wonderful, Summer Friday, that leads many into the weekend, some for holiday, and many just to the pool.  Enjoy your Friday and your weekend, time goes fast, it is hard to believe we are looking August square in the eyes….so do not forget to spend that precious time with those special in your life!

Have a Great Friday and a Super Weekend….Aloha !

John Kvale

http://www.jkfinancialinc.com
http://www.street-cents.com
8222 Douglas Ave # 590
Dallas, TX 75225

2 responses to “Earnings, Interest Rates, Summer Friday

  1. Richard,

    Great question…that is the estimated earnings per share of the S&P 500 for the year 2013. We use it to calculate the overall market’s Price Earnings ratio…PE
    So 1691/105 = 16.15 PE which is pretty rich…14-15 are better values.

    Thanks for the question,

    John

    Like

  2. Richard Yoder

    Hi John,

    What do you mean by a projection of $105 in earnings for the S&P 500? Thanks and have a great weekend.

    Richard

    Like

What are your thoughts ??

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s