Last year capital markets levitated almost three times as high as earnings growth. Loosely, earnings growth and capital market growth should approximate each other.
Sideways Is Our Friend
We are the first to say we always want to make money. Making money with good fundamentals is a much better long-term outcome than frothy exuberance.
Markets Are Manic
Remember capital markets are usually manic. Overshooting on the high side and then again to the low side. Assuming valuations are somewhere between 10-20% overvalued here in the US, sideways is our friend!
Grow Into Valuation
The longer markets churn sideways AND companies continue to make profits, which they are doing, the more fundamentally correctly valued we become. Sideways it good from our perch as the alternative is ugly (down.)
Have a Great Day!
John A. Kvale CFA, CFP
http://www.jkfinancialinc.com http://www.street-cents.com 8222 Douglas Ave # 590 Dallas, TX 75225
I have learn some just right stuff here. Definitely value bookmarking for revisiting.
I surprise how much effort you set to create this type of excellent informative website.
[…] PS This does not change our view of frothy capital markets, only helpful for our puppy feet! […]
[…] even at lofty valuations. While capital markets have moved very little this year (fine by us, see Sideways) ultimately earnings do, and will, drive price movement, even if it is to only allow growth into […]