Welcome to our Video and Audio Podcast Review of our Q3 2023 Newsletter. For those on the road or just unable to grab the time to read, our podcast type review gives you the behind the scenes insight to our thoughts, observations and deep views of the entire Newsletter.
Click the Download button below, for a direct link to an electronic version (an early peek-good ole fashion paper versions are on their way to you shortly) and here for our Newsletter page
Let’s get going! We hope you enjoy!
BREAK IN – The TDAmeritrade Charles Schwab merger will happen over Labor Day Weekend (September 5th, 2023) – Only Changes: Log in portal and account number – Expect (no reply) Legal Paperwork and emails!
Looking Forward Now with Regards to Rate Increases
Three Articles Centered around this main leading Article –
In our main lead article, we discuss the look forward expectations of NOT lowering rates as soon as many think. With higher rates, cost of capital will be more expensive for many projects, giving the Federal Reserve the desired slow down in the Economy ! Hopefully, and not too much!
Research Affiliates Robert Arnott 10 Year Expected Returns
Take note of Arnott’s powerful firm with predictions of the slower/safer Bonds earning more than the good ole SP 500 like stocks, earning and inferior 10 year return- Lots of disclaimers of course!
Higher for Longer
Asset Allocation – What’s old is New Again (Wish I would have thought of this title for the Newsletter) – Bonds may be our new Buddy – Especially if Powell is to be taken at his word!
Slow motion Slowdown – It is likely not over yet
Sneaky stimulus remains and with the fencing of Banks, this has the effect of additional stimulus in the system!
A Day in the Life and Summer Plans
While we may not talk Wall Street talk, our days are full of watchful research and fun client interactions!
The return of what we are doing this summer finally makes its way back into the Newsletter – we hope you enjoy!
It’s tough holding, or even better, investing, into capital markets (or asset classes) that have not been performing well (never go all in of course.) Over the past several quarters we have re-iterated multiple times, (here and here and here) that we believe international markets hold better value.
Research Affiliates – Robert Arnott
One of the most respected investment and research firms in the industry Research Affiliates and their founder Robert Arnott, recently opened a portion of their research to all investors. Here is their estimate of equity market returns for the next 10 years.
We were happily surprised at their conclusions:
US large and small companies score VERY (farthest right and fourth from right) low on Research Affiliates expected 10 year return. We agree!
Have a good day!
John A. Kvale CFA, CFP
PS Traveling on Friday and Cathy is having a procedure that may keep her from the office as well, Monday is a Holiday and our office will be closed !
The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. To determine which investments may be appropriate for you, please consult your financial advisor prior to investing!
Background
The is the vocal portion of J.K. Financial, Inc. a Dallas Texas Based Fee Only Total Wealth Financial Planning Firm. Founded by John Kvale, a Dallas Texas Fee only Financial Planner and Total Wealth Manager.
Q3 2023 J.K. Financial, Inc. Newsletter … Rate Increases re-review Forward Looking Effects- Research Affiliates Robert Arnott 10 Year Expectations … What we are doing this Summer … By John Kvale CFA, CFP …
Welcome to our Video and Audio Podcast Review of our Q3 2023 Newsletter. For those on the road or just unable to grab the time to read, our podcast type review gives you the behind the scenes insight to our thoughts, observations and deep views of the entire Newsletter.
Click the Download button below, for a direct link to an electronic version (an early peek-good ole fashion paper versions are on their way to you shortly) and here for our Newsletter page
Let’s get going! We hope you enjoy!
BREAK IN – The TDAmeritrade Charles Schwab merger will happen over Labor Day Weekend (September 5th, 2023) – Only Changes: Log in portal and account number – Expect (no reply) Legal Paperwork and emails!
Q3 2023 Newsletter
(YouTube)
Looking Forward Now with Regards to Rate Increases
Three Articles Centered around this main leading Article –
In our main lead article, we discuss the look forward expectations of NOT lowering rates as soon as many think. With higher rates, cost of capital will be more expensive for many projects, giving the Federal Reserve the desired slow down in the Economy ! Hopefully, and not too much!
Research Affiliates Robert Arnott 10 Year Expected Returns
Take note of Arnott’s powerful firm with predictions of the slower/safer Bonds earning more than the good ole SP 500 like stocks, earning and inferior 10 year return- Lots of disclaimers of course!
Higher for Longer
Asset Allocation – What’s old is New Again (Wish I would have thought of this title for the Newsletter) – Bonds may be our new Buddy – Especially if Powell is to be taken at his word!
Slow motion Slowdown – It is likely not over yet
Sneaky stimulus remains and with the fencing of Banks, this has the effect of additional stimulus in the system!
A Day in the Life and Summer Plans
While we may not talk Wall Street talk, our days are full of watchful research and fun client interactions!
The return of what we are doing this summer finally makes its way back into the Newsletter – we hope you enjoy!
Have a Great Summer! Talk in the Fall!
John A. Kvale CFA, CFP
Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
www.jkfinancialinc.com
www.street-cents.com
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Posted in Debt - Debt Management, Donald Capone, Economy, FOMC, Forecast, General Financial Planning, Interest Rates, Investing/Financial Planning, Jen Hill, John Kvale, Market Comments, Newsletters, Personal, Podcast, Video
Tagged 10 year returns, Bonds, Day in the Life, Equity Returns, Interest Rates, Newsletter, Normal Work Day, Robert Arnott, Summer Plans