Tag Archives: BEA

Higher Rates (Short Term) are in the Cards … Maybe even sooner

Barring a meltdown of some type, the recent Gross Domestic Product (GDP) final revision for the most recent quarter of 5% gives Janet Yellen and Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) gang a green light.

Mentioned earlier here in our post and a prominent portion of our coming Newsletter, we think higher short-term rates are in the cards. With a long-term average of 5.10% (backed by research in our coming Newsletter) rates may begin to get back to normal … Finally!

From the Bureau of Economic Analysis Release (BEA):

12-24-14 Q 3 2014 Final GDP Estimate

We acknowledge the argument this is backward looking and with tumbling (more like falling lead balloon) energy prices, future GDP prints will be weaker initially. We think higher rates MAY have moved to an earlier point on the calendar for the deciding FOMC gang. Much welcomed by us !

Lucky timing for an expanded article on this the next Newsletter.

Have a Happy Holiday Friday!

John Kvale CFA, CFP

PS REMINDER … only crickets at the office today!

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