If you followed our writings for any length of time at all you notice a clear absence of political discussions!
We’ve had multiple visits on market reactions and wanted to clarify here publicly, without political comments of course.
Possible Market Reactions to Differing Election Outcomes
What follows is a carefully written, candid explanation of what we think the Capital Markets may do under several scenarios.
Insert your own probabilities of outcomes so that you may have an expectation of how Markets MAY react.
In order of our estimates of most disruptive to least disruptive:
Hanging Chads – No one is elected and a lengthy battle ensues – In our minds, most Market disruptive – Participants dislike uncertainty
Clean Sweep Either Direction – This may surprise you, but participants generally favor a partial party political holding
Partial Party Holding = Inferred from the points above – Partial party holding in either direction is likely least market disruptive
There you have it, maybe some surprises …. but our thoughts on possible market reactions … no guarantees of course, but in fielding a few questions, we thought others may like to hear as well!
Have a Great “Elections Market Movement” Day!
John A. Kvale CFA, CFP
Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
October 2020 Podcast Video, Financial Planning and Capital Market Update – By John Kvale …
Hello and Welcome to our October 2020 Financial Planning and Capital Market Update!
If you are too busy to read, feel free to listen as we describe our post and thoughts in friendly podcast audio format as well as Video!
Newbies –
We like to articulate our thoughts and review on a Monthly basis our Financial Planning Tips, Capital Markets and current events!
Hope you enjoy!
October Video
(YouTube)
Financial Planning Tip (s) –
Social Security COLA Increase 1.3%
Social Security, one of the few Pension Like Benefits that has a Cost of Living Adjustment (COLA) announced an annual increase – there is not always an increase … which we discussed here in this post with links to the announcement for those wanting more detail!
Possible Realizing of Capital Gains
With year end tax planning in mind, here in this post we discuss the possibility of realizing Capital Gains if your are on the fence and may be thinking of pushing gains out to next year…. this with approval and knowledge of your tax professional – let’s not get reckless!
Capital Market Comments
Election Outcomes and Market Reactions
Here in this post we carefully tip toe into the Election outcomes and possible market outcomes ….
Have a Great October Update!
Talk to you at the end of November!
John A. Kvale CFA, CFP
Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
jkfinancialinc
street-cents
Share this:
Like this:
Leave a comment
Posted in General Financial Planning, Investing/Financial Planning, Market Comments, Retirement Planning, Social Security
Tagged Capital Gains, Cola, Election, Social Security COLA, tax planning, taxes