Tag Archives: Obama

International visitors – Girl Who Cried Wolf?

What an international week we are having.

  • The Pope is in New York, after a visit with the President in Washington — just as he left, another honorable guest has arrived.
  • The Chinese President, Xi Jimping, is in Washington now with President Obama. (By all counts these guys seem to be really having fun- good!)International Day

Certainly would not want to be a secret service man this week — well done guys!

It is really neat to live in such a small world today !

Girl Who Cried Wolf

We all remember the boy who cried Wolf? With a 7 and 10 year old it enters conversation occasionally — How about the GIRL who cried wolf?

Yesterday afternoon, Janet Yellen, head of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) in a public speech, backtracked her words of just a few days ago, leading many to believe she is now planning on RAISING RATES – What ?  Interesting !

Today is a Friday and I am traveling back from a wonderful turn around visit in a neighboring state.  Enjoy your weekend !

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

http://www.jkfinancialinc.com
http://www.street-cents.com
8222 Douglas Ave# 590
Dallas, TX 75225


 

Tax Inversion … Huh ?

Clever nick names and acronyms often catch hold. While never certain of the source (many proclaim authorship) a recent “Cool” tag/nick name has garnered much attention. After this quick post, at your next cocktail party or other gathering, you can toss this one out with confidence.

Tax Inversion DefinedTax Inversion

The world is a much smaller place today. Companies are free to merge and purge globally, and they do frequently. More importantly, tax rates are different in different parts of the world, just as they are in different states in the USA.

  1. Merging or buying a publicly traded TAX PAYING company in a different country
  2. Possible relocation of the companies domicile to said country
  3. Lower tax rate/base of the newly acquired company

These are the keys to a Tax Inversion.

Bottom Line: Buy or merge with a company that resides in a country with a lower tax rate than your current country.

Money Stuck In Overseas Bank Accounts

With a much smaller world and foreign trading partners, frequently international trading companies have foreign bank accounts that are stuffed full of cash. Often times there is a tax hit to the company if it brings this cash back into its home country. This makes a foreign purchase more appealing.

Target On Your Back

In a world that if it sounds to good to be true it is, this from President Obama:

 They’re technically renouncing their U.S. citizenship, they’re declaring their base someplace else even though most of their operations are here. You know some people are calling these companies ‘corporate deserters.’

There is talk of a retroactive tax to stop future and penalize companies that have already completed a “Tax Inversion” as of this writing, nine major corporations.

While a lightening rod of views on the cause, effect, and how to handle this tax strategy, we remain silent and neutral, but interested on how this plays out.

Now you can throw out “Tax Inversion” confidently at your next dinner party! haha

Have a Great Day!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

PS Recently it appears there are specific investments being made toward companies that may have a “Tax Inversion” possibility …. Nahhhh … Dinner party talk only please !

http://www.jkfinancailinc.com
http://www.street-cents.com
8222 Douglas Ave # 590
Dallas, TX 75225

Obama Boots Bernanke….Who will step up to the plate?

We spoke at the beginning of this year (here) that Ben Bernanke’s term would be over in early 2014 and there would be much talk on his continued service or not.

Missing Jackson Hole

Bernanke’s announcement that he would not attend one of the many but important FED meetings in Jackson Hole Wyoming was our first signal. While not mandatory, attendance is certainly expected at the Jackson Hole FED meeting.

Obama Gives Big Ben the Boot

Recently president Obama in a Charlie Rose interview completely tossed Bernanke under the bus with a comment of most notably “He has stayed longer than necessary” Yikes, to us his fate was sealed at that moment and whileBoot President Obama’s statement was possibly without tact, the point was made.

All Eyes on the Successor

At this time it appears Janet Yellen is the leading candidate, but there is a lot of political ground to be covered before the transition. At our Axel Merk Roundtable event, Merk stated Yellen would make Bernanke look like a hawk, meaning more stimulus over less in the future. We will see! With the US FOMC chairman being one of the most powerful positions in the US and debatably the world, we expect a lot of conversation and debates between now and early 2014.

Have a Great Day!

John Kvale

PS A travel day today…but back tomorrow !

http://www.jkfinancialinc.com
http://www.street-cents.com
8222 Douglas Ave # 590
Dallas, Tx 75225

With the USA Election in the books, key events coming soon!

With the re-election of President Obama, all eyes will turn toward the next hurdles!

We have crowed about the Fiscal cliff and with a decided election vote (no extended time needed for a decision…taxes are set to rise dramatically on 12-31-12) a maximum amount of time is available for getting our taxable ducks in a row.  We know it is a big decision and wish all political participants play nice together and come to a positive decisive resolution (sooner rather than later would be great too!)

Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner has hit the eject button and will leave his post shortly after year-end as well. Larry Fink of Blackrock is the whispered successor at this time.  This presidential nominated and senate approved post is heavy on work and light on accolades. Capital market participants including ourselves would like a clear runway to the next person holding the post.

Looking even further into the future, FOMC chairman Ben Bernanke has stated he wished to no longer hold his position after year’s end 2013. We will be interested to see if this statement sticks. For those conspiracy theorists, recall Greenspan was repeatedly asked to extend his stay and conceded after multiple retirement announcements.

Have a great day!

JK

214-706-4300
http://www.jkfinancialinc.com
8222 Douglas Ave # 590
Dallas, TX 75225

USA Election day is finally near, our thoughts on the possible market reactions

With election day on final count down, we wanted to give you our thoughts on possible market reactions given certain outcomes. No matter what poll you may choose to look at, it is not clear of outcome at this time, which makes for a good analysis of market reactions.

So here we go:

  1. Possible continued semi-gridlock provides a yawn for markets: Our belief is that continued opposite party representations of the house/senate provide a neutral backdrop for either party that is elected as president. We give this a very high probability.
  2. Full sweep in either direction will create opportunities and perceived losers: Should either party have complete control, established by a presidential, house, and senate representation, market participants will take note and generally provide a positive for markets. Our probability is less than 25% on this option.
  3. Hanging chad or similar is very negative: While punches are no longer used for voting, a delay of any type will be a negative to market participants. Our reasoning is that this outcome creates continued confusion for the fiscal cliff. We give this a smaller than 5% chance probability.

One last item worth mentioning, the fiscal cliff (tax increases looming near year-end) are much more worrisome than the outcome of the elections for us. Should we have option two above occur (party agnostic) this is very positive for the fiscal cliff concerns and makes us more optimistic for the nearer term.

PLEASE VOTE..IT IS YOUR RIGHT!

Have a great day!

JK

PS Phones are up and working perfectly!

214-706-4300
www.jkfinancialinc.com
8222 Douglas Ave # 590
Dallas, TX 75225

Today is THE Big Day!

The Juice is loose, it’s all about probabilities….what we have all been waiting for with much anticipation and concern.  We get an open look at the future and the possible economic ideas that may be coming.  Great ideas, some criticisms, an important dialect on the US and World Economy. Discussions of the various media events and public venues that have been highlighting items over this year, and a terrific review of the last few quarter and the coming.

We are of course talking about the Q 4 2012, J.K. Financial, Inc Newsletter Posted now, and the J.K. Financial, Inc. Quarterly Performance Report Cover letter coming soon!!

Oh….and yes there is a major debate tonight at 9 pm ET too !!

Gotcha…Pardon our silly humor, hope you enjoy both!

Have a Great Day!

JK

214-706-4300

http://www.jkfinancialinc.com

8222 Douglas Ave Suite 590

Dallas, TX 75225

State of the Union Address Update and Bernanke

Last night President Obama made his first State of the Union Address, rallying various parts of our country/economy and chastising others.

Overall our assessment from our prior feared post is the speech was more market friendly than many had expected, echoing our post thoughts and rallying markets world wide. (It’s never as good as you think, or as bad, most tend to over react!)

 Bottom line, friendlier speech than many had thought, and Bernanke is inching closer to a re-appointment, all positives for the Capital Markets.

Click here to read the actual transcript of the State of the Union Address, proved by the White House.

JK