Tag Archives: Re-Test

Candid Market Expectations – VERY Short Term – Now We are Prepared!

We shy away from making market prognostications as rarely do markets do what most think will happen.

This time, due to the recent movements we are straying from our safe place in order to give you a heads up on our best and most likely very short term market movement that may be coming.

For the record we hope we are wrong, but feel we wanted to give you a heads up on our thoughts – again this is VERY SHORT TERM (unlike us to talk about it) and we will likely not mention it much as, short term to us is usually three years or more ….

Market Expectations – VERY SHORT TERM

We feel is it very likely we will go back and test our recent lows – there are a ton of crazy reasons why this happens, and in our chart we have marked in green arrows prior tests along with our expectations of our next test.

The reasons will likely be an excuse, a headline of some sort, or an outside event that suddenly seems to make markets more concerned (why does momentum change in a sporting event? not always clear) – no matter, our best guess is that we WILL re-test this recent low!

It’s possible we will go farther down than the prior or maybe not as far – either way, it is VERY likely we will go back for a re-test.

Longer term – will not matter at all, just like turbulence on your flight!

Let’s all watch – just like Eagle Scouts’ motto – Now we are prepared!

1-12-19 spx chart and expectations

Have a Great “Ready for the Re-test” Day!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
jkfinancialinc
street-cents

 

Grumpy/Bumpy October Continues – Traveling Thursday and Friday

As we mentioned at the first of the month, October has a way of creating a ruckus! This October is no different….

The Bad

It has been bumpy ride, but at this point our test and re-test theme seems in tact…

10-20-18 SP 500 retest ChartWe are still a bit surprised about not being surprised on this….

The Good

This is why we are conservative by nature and as a firm…..

Earnings are coming in good….

Reinvestments are being made at better prices …

We are almost finished with October and into a “historically” a good time of the year…

We are watching, monitoring, and using this movement to get a good feel of our allocations…. and our comfort zones….

Things can change for the better rather quickly…just saying!

Travels

Tomorrow and Friday are travel days, but watch for a super post on Friday from the road concerning the Vault and a theft…

Have a Great “Bumpy October” Day!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
jkfinancialinc
street-cents