Q 4 2018 Newsletter Video Audio Podcast Review By John Kvale

Welcome to our Video and Audio Podcast Review of our Q 4 2018 Newsletter. For those on the road or just unable to grab the time to read, our podcast type review gives you the behind the scenes insight to our thoughts, observations and deep views of the entire Newsletter.

Click Here for direct link to an electronic version (an early peek-good ole fashion paper versions are on their way to you shortly) and here for our Newsletter page

BREAK IN – Save the date for the Holiday Party

November 17th – Saturday before Thanksgiving – Dallas Athletic Club from 3-5 pm

DAC

Let’s get going!

Q 4 2018 Newsletter

And here is your review!

Capital Market Talk

Earnings and Markets Eventually Converge

In this hugely in depth article, first we discuss the effect of earnings eventually driving capital markets, but disconnects can occur. It can even be a good thing for Capital Markets to WAY underperform earnings, as they are this year because in brings valuations back in line.

Here is the key graph

7-13-18 EPS Growth and Mkt Growth 10 year avg

Higher Rates, a Short Term Headwind, Eventually a Tailwind

With sustained lower rates over the last decade, memories have faded on the tugging headwinds that higher rates have – IN THE SHORT TERM – on the mandatory safety asset class of bonds.

Higher rates are a great thing as Bonds/Fixed Income Assets have a place for almost all investors due to their safety and liquidity.

Once the headwinds subside our fixed income investments will have ridden the yield curve higher and begin paying more income in the form of yield – into our pockets – Finally!
bond index V Interest Rates

Too High of Rates Can Create Trouble

Too high of rates or an overshoot CAN create trouble … or a recession…

Our friends at JPMorgan – historically show that rate is about 5% – yea FIVE percent –

We disagree and think a lower level may now be this tipping point, due to the decade low interest rate level we have just experienced-

Current at two percent, we have a long way to go before getting too antsy
JPMorgan Rate Level for Slowdown

Inverted Yield Curve Update

So far to good- no inversion yet!
9-28-18 90 day to 10 year Inverted Curve status

Financial Planning

This series of articles came out of no where and in like domino fashion, once one was done the next took form and fell into place-

PLUP graph

App of the Quarter – Hardware

Our editor took the fancy picture out due to copyright fears, but our experience with the Firestick has been exceptional – Here are the highlights of our findings

  • Great Savings compared to just full service in many cases
  • Does not take as much internet speed as we thought
  • Bring your home on the road
  • Multiple devices used at once
  • Cuts back on duplicated services
  • Allows cherry picking services

Enjoy the fall –

See Ya next Year – Wow 2019 here we come!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
www.jkfinancialinc.com
www.street-cents.com

September 2018 Podcast Video, Financial Planning and Capital Market Update – By John Kvale

Hello and Welcome to our September 2018 Financial Planning and Capital Market Update!

If you are too busy to read, feel free to listen as we describe our post and thoughts in friendly podcast format as well as Video too!

Newbies – We like to articulate our thoughts and review on a Monthly basis our Financial Planning Tips, Capital Markets and current events!

This is month two of our upgraded Laptop, which means a new recording system of Audio and Video — while still working the kinks out, we are getting the hang of it – Enjoy!

September 2018 Video

Financial Planning Tip (s) –

The Emergency FundMoney - dollar-941246_1920

In our post here, a shortened version of an article in the coming Newsletter, we review all, about a much needed Emergency Fund, and the levels for certain scenarios.

Reasons to be slightly bigger-

  • Possible Job Change – Need to be higher on emergency funds
  • New Family Member- Higher is better
  • New Home – Expect unforeseen expenses – they always occur (Has anyone ever built or bought a home in less time and for less money than they thought? Nope, it’s in our nature)
  • Salary Fluctuations i.e. Commissions – Error on the higher side of that emergency fund
  • Others dependent on you – Business owner, large family, solo income earners, college or wedding – Higher is better

Reasons for a normal to smaller Emergency fund-

  • Dual Similar Incomes – Lower Emergency fund is ok
  • Very stable Job – Smaller side of the living expenses will
  • Very fixed income stability – Pensions, Social, etc.

High Deductibles – Why to Consider

In this post, we discuss the reasons for considering a Higher Deductible lifestyle –

Break In – There are always situations that a High Deductible will not work, we are just pointing out the advantages, under the correct circumstances!

Auto Insurance: One of the best ideas to consider a high deductible – take a look here at the great examples of why.

Home Owners: Another great coverage to consider a higher deductible.

Health Insurance: Once again a good one, but certain situations can easily negate the advantages of this!

Capital Market Comments – Interest Rates and Bonds

Short Term Headwinds Of Higher Rates on Bonds

This busy chart gives a great picture of the short term effects of interest rates on bond. Coming from such an extended long period of unusually low rates, we are reminding ourselves along with everyone else, this is very normal phenomenon and will correct itself with time by putting extra dollars in our pockets in the form of higher yields.

Have a Great Day – Talk to you at the end of October!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.

A Dallas Texas based fee only

Financial Planning Total Wealth

Management firm.

www.jkfinancialinc.com

street-cents

Save the Date! 23rd Annual Holiday Party … Saturday November 17th from 3-5 pm Dallas Athletic Club – Caught Ya, Tricky spam site warning …

Its that time again!

Well almost…

The 23rd Annual (YES 23 YEARS!) J.K. Financial, Inc. Holiday Party

cropped-d930ef057d0bc16336f1561c33ad98dba5725d9f6c77e7d905pimgpsh_thumbnail_win_distr

SAVE THE DATE

Saturday – November 17th, 2018

from 3-5 PM

DAC

We look forward to seeing everyone there and will send out formal invitations soon !

Tricky Spam Link – Fake Amazon

Our newest team member continues to jump into the water … even as we promise it is not cold… haha

Coincidentally .. with our IT folks on the line, Jen’s computer, just by chance began speaking to her and telling her to call Microsoft – Fake number of course –

IT folks quickly took over and fixed the problem — or did they?

A few minutes later after heading back towards amazon again for office supplies, the computer was chirping at us again…

Get this – a fake Google Ad Word hot link was jumping in front of the actual Amazon link – after a few repeat offenses, the link no longer came up – Maybe they used all the funds they had???  No matter, be careful, this was a crafty fake request – no damage though!

Feels like Fall Friday

It’s cool here, and looks to be for a few more days … enjoy your Friday and your weekend, lot’s of video’s coming at you next week – but that is next week!

Have a GREAT “Save the Date, Feels Like Fall Friday” Day!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
jkfinancialinc
street-cents

Blockchain Update – Use in the Future

A little over a year ago, here in this post we deciphered Blockchain technology for the first time.

The following chart, from our friends at Visual Capitalist do a wonderful job of future uses – take a look !

Can you imagine what a Title Company for a Real Estate Transaction would do for this? It’s Happening – check out this Forbes Article

 

blockchain-powering-the-future

 

Have a Great “Blockchain Transaction simplified” Day!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
jkfinancialinc
street-cents

App … No, Hardware of the Quarter Review … Streaming Devices … Firestick, Roku, Chromecast

Coming to your mailbox shortly (We know the novelty of a paper newsletter, but old is new!) is our App … no, hardware of the quarter.

This handy little device attaches to your HDMI connection of any screen or monitor and then pulls content in via your internet connection – Cool Stuff!

Roku/Chromecast/Firestick – Hardware of the Quarterwatch tv white-male-1847732__480

In our coming Newsletter we discuss in great detail our experience with the only of these devices we know, the Firestick ….

Here is our take on these devices:

  • Great Savings compared to just full service in many cases
  • Does not take as much internet speed as we thought
  • Bring your home on the road
  • Multiple devices used at once
  • Cuts back on duplicated services
  • Allows cherry picking services

Here is a great review of all these devices in much greater detail.

If you have not taken a look at any of these devices, it may be worth a try … you may find great savings and more flexibility!

Have a Great “Streaming Device” Day!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
jkfinancialinc
street-cents

App/Hardware of the Quarter Preview -Whirlwind Trip for “The Brain” – Black Eye Repaired … Jen’s Continued Baptism – Travels

Each quarter we like to highlight an App of the Quarter in our Newsletter … This Quarter, as a sneak preview, we did not pick an App, but a SUPER handy piece of hardware, that has saved us a ton…. We will divulge next week!

Donald “The Brain” with a Black Eye?

What’s the only thing you really don’t want to have when your having a photo shoot? 

How about a Black eye!black eye -pexels-photo-1404727

In a “You cannot make this up way” The Brain arrived in Dallas yesterday morning for a record breaking fast whirlwind tour photo shoot, then flight back home – with non other than – you guessed it …. A Black Eye!

Thanks to an opponent softball player’s wild elbow while turning the base, The Brain had a nice shiner ….

Jen’s continued baptism was in full force as the waterproof cover-up was handy … no more black eye! Sorry folks, a perfect photo moment was lost as they both knew I would want a pic, and they waited until a much needed gas refill was occurring – rats, missed it..

Photo shoot done!

Hmmmmm …. Why the photo shoot?

Well, we cannot say for about three more weeks, but when we can – WE WILL – LOUDLY

Travels

As you read this I will likely be in a plane with the 13 year old, headed to a National Tennis Tournament in a warmer state, where “What Happens There, Stays There” … 100+degrees will feel like summer again ….. All Good!

The end of the THIRD – yes – third quarter, of 2018, is next week — it goes fast…. spend time with those important …. talk to ya next week!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
jkfinancialinc
street-cents

The Short Term Inverse Relationship Between Rates and Bonds

After over a decade of not only lowering of rates, but SUPER low, interest rates, it is no wonder we have forgotten the short term relationship of bonds and interest rates.

Inverse Buddies

Over the short term, when rates are going down bonds go up and just the opposite as rates are increased. Pair that with extremely low – zero – rates and the gradual increase in rates, which causes a natural headwind has caught many by surprise, especially after over a decade of lowered and low rates.

bond index V Interest Rates

Ok, so it is a little busy – but it directly shows our point – as rates go down, bonds go up and then as rates go up bonds down. This is a short term phenomenon as once rates stabilize, bonds do as well.

We are happily welcoming higher rates as we think they are much needed – even though they present headwinds for a much needed safe asset class, Bonds – in the SHORT term!

Have a Great “Rate Bond Buddy” Day!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
jkfinancialinc
street-cents