Author Archives: John Kvale CFA, CFP

From Party Last Night ..Walk Down Memory Lane Video … Fun Pics – Friday

This video was playing throughout the elevator monitors during the party last night…audio is neat if you are in a place to listen!

Some great memories – 24th year of party, 30th year in the business….

Thanks so much to all, especially those that traveled far to come, we hope you enjoyed it as much as we did seeing everyone and visiting.

A Few Pictures as well !

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Time Goes Fast…. All Good!

Have a Great “Walk Down Memory Lane” Friday!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
jkfinancialinc
street-cents

 

 

Perot Parking Directions – Better Lucky Than Good, A Totally New Exhibit Opened Two Days Ago – Fox 4 News Preview Interview …

Its a little tricky getting to the parking lot, but we have our own private lot that is the closest we could possible get to the actual museum…. Here is a reminder for those coming tonight:

perot invite_Page_1

Better Lucky and Good

We were told a new exhibit would POSSIBLY be open by the time our party occurred… Guess What?

It opened two days ago.. as seen in this neat interview from Dallas Fox 4 News….

See you guys tonight!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

 

Hold on … Here Come Important Valuation and Corporate Earnings Charts –

As promised, it’s always good to step back occasionally and make darn sure we are not all being Lemurs (most known for following each other without thought) and gathering together, just before we go over the cliff….

Ok, so you are about to receive a blast of charts… we will code this post Forecast so we can go back and look at the “Forecasts” later….

Is the Market (S&P 500) Expensive?

This is the trailing PE (Price Earnings Ratio) the most macro valuation measure used from our Friends at Factset !

Green dotted line represents, 5 year average, and the dark dotted line represents the 10 year average….

Answer – Not cheap, but MAYBE not as frothy as it may feel at times (present party included) – certainly have been MUCH more expensive in the past…

Remember, tariff progress may release some pent up/held on the sidelines demand!

11-9-19 Trailing 5 and 10 year Avg PE Versus Current PE

What Areas are PROJECTED to Grow in 2020

This is what analysts are PROJECTING/Forecasting (hence our coding for future review) for the year 2020!

Recent Losers are expected to be next years winners- i.e. Energy and Materials….

What happens if Tariff Agreements are not reached? Not being negative here but we must consider this could be better or worse!

11-9-19 Earnings Growth for 2020 by Sector - Forecast

Earnings Versus Market Price Movement

You hear us say all the time, Earnings are the ultimate driver of prices… and they are….

No one says this is easy…. Earnings have been flat, but markets up….

Theoretically this should not happen … UNLESS market participants expect future earnings growth as markets are forward looking.

Q 4 2019 EPS Growth Change Versus market Growth

How about the Consumer?

Recall the consumer drives over two thirds of the economy through spending in our consumer consumption economy….

A Happy Consumer = Spending Consumer

One of the many Consumer Sentiment Indicators… University of Michigan…

Steady as she goes!

9-2019 U of Michigan Sentiment 10 years

Ok … you get the point, not too bad!

We could find something really hot and really cold, but these are the biggies from a high level!

Of course we did not forget the inverted yield curve and it’s recession predictiveness … we spoke about it here, here, here and here…. more to come…

Have a Great “Lemur Checkup” Day!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
jkfinancialinc
street-cents

Happy Veterans Day – Reminder Banks and Government Offices Closed

Happy Veterans Day

Thank You For Your Service

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

 

Good News From Interest Rates – Friday

While the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) led by Jerome Powell have been lowering short term rates, see notes by us here, here and here….

Until just recently, longer term rates were following short term rates down…

Good News From Interest Rates

While the FOMC does control short term rates, they have much less control of longer term rates and actually by lowering short term rates they were hoping for this….

Higher long term rates are our friend … Possible reasons:

  • Market participants way of being more positive
  • Tariff talks proceeding
  • Less fear
  • Expectation of future growth
11-7-19 Ten Year Treasury Update

10 Year Treasury Rate

If we showed a longer term chart you would see it still has a ways to go as we are only nearing 2% – half full guys… have to start somewhere…  For now, good news!

Newsletter Under WayQ 4 2019 Newsletter Banner small

We have some really neat items under way for the Q 1 2020 (yikes- did we just say that) Newsletter… we have found some great Government Public sources of information that we think you will really like – now on to pulling it all together for brevity and clarity — never thought those research paper skills would be so used – Sorry to all the English teachers that did not get full effort..yes you told me so! haha

Today is a chilly Friday and Thanksgiving is just around the corner…

Have a Great Friday and Weekend!

John A. Kvale CFA. CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
jkfinancialinc
street-cents

 

 

Email Address is the New Home Mailing Address – Why the Restrictions Associated with Changes!

In the good old days our physical home address was the most important item for delivery of mail and physical identity. Not sure if your mailbox is like many, but for the most part paper delivery is WAY down and expected that in the next few years many entities (Credit Card, Mortgage, Paychecks… any kind of monthly statement) will completely discontinue options for paper delivery …. this is a much greener approach, and will certainly help our environment – we know it may be uncomfortable for some, but likely inevitable!

Email address replaces Home Address – Our Collective Responsibilitiesicons-157872__480 email address

Given the above mentioned facts, with our email address now been our most likely contact … similar to our physical address in the good old days, new restrictions for our collective security are welcomed, needed, and expected.

It’s for our own collective safety that to change an email address on a delivery should be more secure!

In today’s more secure and safe environment for us to change an email address on your information we will now need to submit a signed document – ok … it’s a bit of a pain, and in the good old days when delivery was mostly to our physical address we could do it for you – but that was as they say … the good old days.

With 95% of our clients receiving all of their information completely electronically we feel like we are the norm, and accept the new responsibility but slightly more challenging changes to our electronic delivery.

Docusign Anyone ? More to come on this soon!

Just a heads up in advance,  when we change our email there will be additional documents for our collective security to make the change.

We will make it super easy, but there will be an extra step.

Sorry for the hassle but again certainly for our collective security!

Have a Great ” Email is New Home Address” Day!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
jkfinancialinc
street-cents

October 2019 Podcast Video, Financial Planning and Capital Market Update – By John Kvale

Hello and Welcome to our October 2019 Financial Planning and Capital Market Update!

If you are too busy to read, feel free to listen as we describe our post and thoughts in friendly podcast audio format as well as Video!

BREAK IN

D Magazines Best Wealth Managers

2019 Final Approved Dmagazine Best Wealth Manager

D Magazine Best Financial Planner – 13th Consecutive – Wow

Best_Financial_Planner 2019

Sirius Satellite Radio Co-Host

JK Sirius

 

Newbies –

We like to articulate our thoughts and review on a Monthly basis our Financial Planning Tips, Capital Markets and current events!

October – 2019 Video

Financial Planning Tip (s) –

Why we want ANY seeming Important Document

In this post, due to recent fantastic $$ savings just by having access to very old documents… some almost two decades, we were reminded of how important it is for us to safely keep ANY seeming important document…. forever

Only thing is, if we do not have a soft copy… we cannot save it!

Capital Market Comments –

FED Lowers Once Again, another .25% – Likely Pause Expected

Jerome Powell Chief of the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) lowered rates by .25% to the 1.50% to 1.75% range, which will directly effect our overnight money, such as checking accounts and money markets… We think in part, to answer expectations… the good news is they have set future pause expectations… which we like!

Longer term rates have followed a bit, for now.

11-2-19 Fed Funds Rates

 

Have a Great Day – Talk to you at the end of November!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
www.jkfinancialinc.com
street-cents