All eyes on Jerome Powell from Jackson Hole …. Possible Fireworks on Friday 22cnd at 10 am ET …. Will he signal lower short term rates ?

J.K. Financial, Inc. Powell at Jackson Hole

Grab your Popcorn and sit back if you have a moment this Friday the 22cnd at 10:00 am ET …. It should be interesting !

So here is the set up:

CPI – (Consumer Price Index) – (Feds Goal is around 2%) – This was all good and headed the correct direction until lately and looks to be headed higher – far right/most recent is NOT a Green Light for lowering rates!

Line graph showing the year-over-year change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) from January 2021 to July 2025, with a trend indicating fluctuations and a current CPI at 2.70.
FAR RIGHT AREA OF CHART NOT CONTINUING TO DROP IS THE PROBLEM

Treasury Rates are somewhat lower on the short end (2 year – think checking account) but stubbornly higher on the long end (10 Year – think Mortgage rates)

Line graph comparing 2 Year Treasury rates (purple) and 10 Year Treasury rates (blue) from September 2024 to August 2025.
Lowering the short end of rates could push longer term rates higher?

Pressure to lower rates are abundant…. Will Powell give any signals?

Here is the YouTube link to the live stream if you are interested

Grab that Popcorn! Lots of possible effects and Market Reactions!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

AI Content Authenticity: AI created the splash image. All of the following text content has been completed by myself and has not been edited or created by AI. Occasionally we do use AI for images and will note when appropriate.

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.

A Dallas Texas based fee only

Financial Planning Total Wealth

Management firm.

jkfinancialinc

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