Category Archives: Investing/Financial Planning

Donald “The Brain” At it AGAIN Early Next Year – Friday

Those long timers know Donald W. Capone III, CFA as our portfolio manager, planner and industry respected technology person, such “The Brain” label… as well as a super father, to top it off…

It’s  human nature to take this all for granted occasionally – he doesn’t fly like super man you know — haha – kidding!

The Brain Does At Again

Several years ago at an industry gathering of over 3000 folks in a western coast town, the key note speaker begins with a review of all the neat things that had happened during the year and those that were instrumental in developing these items…

32 minutes into the three day event, up pops … Guess who?

20170202_163108888_ios

A fellow professional tapped my shoulder, “Isn’t that your partner on the big screen?” “No he is at home this trip!” No, he was on the big screen talking of the use and adjustments of new portfolio tools…

Sorry the picture is not better, but it was the best possible on such short notice ….

This time he doesn’t catch us off guard as he is expected to speak to a large group early next year as well as attend several round table Q and A’s !

Well done DC “The Brain”

Ahhh … today is a Friday, closing in on a Holiday Season, New Year and some much needed R and R family time for all… Enjoy and talk to you next week !

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
jkfinancialinc
street-cents

Who brought the Grinch to a usually Happy December Markets – Three Possible Items

As we have mentioned here and here, November and December are historically the best times for markets, with the latter having pole position.

While no one knows for certain, and we are watching a ton of different indicators, here are three items of note, worth reviewing.

Before we begin, earnings – one of the most important part of capital markets future, are still positive and this year looks to be one of the best on record!

Three Grinch items to review

Inversion Watch – 10 year treasury yield

We have spoken tons of time about the inverted yield curve and a major part of that curve as well as the inversion, is the current rate of the 10 year yield. This chart shows the recent movement of the 10 year yield moving down – this could be expectations of a slower future economy/growth OR it could be just some big money buying bonds – either way, a Grinch twinge to the capital markets.

12-11-18 Ten Year Treasury

Technical testing of markets

Oddly, even as we mention in this post the Grinch – in reality the capital market participants are taking their sweet time to test and re-test their levels – ignoring the happy months of November and December – Whatever makes you happy guys!

12-11-18 SP 500

Is Sentiment Grinchy? – Worth Watching

With 2/3rds of GDP (Gross Domestic Product) being consumer spending, consumer confidence is one of the most important parts of the economy – No Grinch here!

Capital Markets have forecasted many more bad times than have occurred – but in so doing they have also accurately forecasted “Bad Times!”  –  For now, we are doing our “No Grinch” dance, but watching closely and respecting all!

Have a Great “No Grinch” Day!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
jkfinancialinc
street-cents

Cool Chart – How to Stay Invisible on the Internet … Timely

Facebookers have learned some of their information is not super safe….

Here, last year we calmed those that were worried about the data breach of Equifax, and the possible problems which, for the record, thankfully DID NOT OCCUR!

With these concerns and a more and more loss of privacy technology latent society, this chart from our friends at Visual Capitalist is one of our new all time favorites…

How to Stay Invisible on the Internet

It’s long…showing just how many ways we all access the internet….. maybe a manifesto would be the better term… ENJOY and good luck adjusting the electronics!

how-to-be-invisible-online

Have a Great ” Stealth Internet” Day!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
jkfinancialinc
street-cents

Calls of an Inverted Yield Curve – Premature SO FAR –

This week a funny thing happened … on the yield curve that is, garnering a lot of attention. Those following our writings, here, here, and here, know we are watching for an inverted yield curve since it has a good predictive nature for recessions – a topic for another discussion. Heck, even Kent Smetters, the Wharton co-host professor mentioned the yield curve had inverted.

Inverted Yield Curve? Kinda!

Here is a good picture of a normal yield curve

 

20180424_122733810_iOS

Inversion occurs when the short term rate goes higher than the long term rate i.e. the 2 year greater than the 10 or even more clearly, the 90 day rate greater than the 10 year…

What happened this week were the 2 and 5 year yields, slightly inverting –

Does this count?

Maybe? BUT the real predictability is from the afore mentioned short and long, not short and slightly longer short…

Here is the 2 and 10’s, followed by the 90 day and 10’s

12-3-18 2 year versus 10 year daily12-3-18 90day versus 10 year constant

It may invert, and we will let you know when it happens, if it happens, but for now, in our minds ….

No inversion yet, but we are watching close!

Have a Great “Not Inverted Yet” Day!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
jkfinancialinc
street-cents

Wharton Co-Host Radio Show Sirius Satellite Radio Yesterday Evening – Rerun all this week and link to show

As I type this, I am waiting for the producer of the show, Michelle Stucker to call and place my phone on the live – yes LIVE – call in Financial Planning Radio show!

Your Money- Wharton University – Professor Kent Smetters

Channel 132 – from 4-5 pm daily this week, Dallas time will re-air the show for those interested…

Yesterday I was honored to once again co-host Kent Smetters, Wharton Professor and Sirius Satellite Radio show for almost an hour !

Talk about getting out of your normal comfort zone – a live nationwide radio show will do it for you!

 

Smetters

Here is a link as well to the show-

There were some fantastic questions – The last time I was guest host, we were both stumped and this time it occurred again —

Someone asked if we knew of any long term care companies that would cover retiree’s living in another country!

Kent tossed to me and I back to him, “Not that I know of!”

Watch for a full article in the coming Newsletter !

Full confession – Due to a chicken/superstitious nature – you are reading this AFTER the show was recoreded ! haha

Have a Great “Out of your Comfort Zone” Day!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
jkfinancialinc
street-cents

November 2018 Podcast Video, Financial Planning and Capital Market Update – By John Kvale

Hello and Welcome to our November 2018 Financial Planning and Capital Market Update!

If you are too busy to read, feel free to listen as we describe our post and thoughts in friendly podcast format as well as Video!

Newbies – We like to articulate our thoughts and review on a Monthly basis our Financial Planning Tips, Capital Markets and current events!

November – 2018 Video

Financial Planning Tip (s) –

Clump – Maximizing the new standard deduction

With a $12k individual standard deduction and double that for joint filers it takes work to maximize the standard deduction threshold… Add the fact that SALT State and Local Tax deductions are now limited to $10k annually, clumping expenses into one year as mentioned here in our post and visually below may be the only way to get above the standard deductions for many …

Clumping Taxes

Capital Market Comments –

Powell Signals a Slower Rate Increase

Current FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) chairman Jerome Powell signaled the rate increases may be closer to over than just was stated just a month earlier… where a December increase, which is still almost certain, but three additional increases were promised in 2019 – not any more.

Given the long/lower rates of the last decade, it is not a surprise that the new normal may be lower –

Market Participants cheered this statement!

10-31-18 Fed Funds Rate

Have a Great Day – Talk to you at the end of December!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
www.jkfinancialinc.com
street-cents

Last Day of November – Hello Holidays –

Today is the last day of November and it seems like a whirl wind of a year…

Our company party was awesome and we are waiting on pictures to show you – we have a couple that are sure to be GREAT – Charlie’s Angel look alike!

Next week we will be doing our November review and guess what? We are already working on the Newsletter – much to our editors relief…

Today is a Friday – with a deep dive post last Monday and the video review next Monday along with travels near the end of next week – we are going to keep this one short!

Have a Great almost December Friday!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
jkfinancialinc
street-cents