Category Archives: Clients/Clients Only

Q 2 Quarterly Review Cover Letter

The big news this quarter happened near the end of the quarter in mid June.

Near the end of 2018 the FOMC, led by chairman Jerome Powell, were on record to increase rates three additional times after their late in the year .25% increase. Capital markets threw a gigantic hissy fit. Fast forward a mere six months later, Powell lead FOMC are no longer interested in raising rates and maybe even considering lowering rates, a possibility virtually no one thought probable late last year.

Capital market participants have a way of making their feelings known – it does appear that the hissy fit late 2018 was in response to too fast of a rate increase. While we may never know for sure, post Powell chairman negation of further rate increases, and possible future lowering of rates were met with capital market participant applause.

We still feel there is a lot of ground to cover before an actual rate lowering may occur, and with market participants pricing in an expectation of late July lowering of rates, certainly there’s a possibility of disappointment.

For the moment it appears that interest rates will not go higher, and will at the least stay where they are for the foreseeable future and maybe even go lower from the current 2.25% to 2.5% threshold.

Tariffs and the Slowing Global Economies

The lack of a tariff agreement has put, for obvious reasons, many company managers in a holding position. Combine this with some global waning of growth, and we have a slight macro slowdown.

Global slowdowns are normal, and should not be feared. Major downturn‘s are the crux of problems and are what the FOMC seem to be most fearful of above.

With earnings being the ultimate driver of capital markets, a slowdown would take the wind out of the sails of levitating markets

Inverted Yield Curve Update

The recent deeper and more prolonged inverted yield curve, not hugely inverted but definitely inverted may be signaling a recession to come. In our Q3 2019 newsletter we dig very deep into multiple charts and update our thoughts once again on the inverted yield curve. The bottom line with an inverted yield curve is no one knows when the eventual recession may occur.

While the investment skies are rarely sunny and blue, there are some overcast unknowns at this time. Sunny skies can happen very quickly with agreements and progress from different parts of the world.

We are conservatively positive, and look forward to how all of the cross currents play out in the next few quarters. Needless to say this is not a time to swing for the fences in investment portfolios, we would argue it’s never the time to swing for the investment fences.

Have a great summer will talk to you in early fall!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Save the Date – An Unusual Holiday Date – Thursday November 14th -We have the Perot Museum for the Evening – Cool

After clearing/adding coverage for our Insurance for the event ….

Signing a few contracts that says we are not a crazy group ….

Getting security guards for the event …

Establishing our Parking Area….

Finalizing the entire building for our use only …

Working on food options … not finished yet, but will have same group as the Arboretum two years ago….

We are happy to announce:


We have secured the Perot Museum for the night of Thursday November 14th from 6:30 to 9 PM – yes the Perot Museum for our use only … for an exciting educational experience for grown ups and kids!

Click Here for Direct Link to Video



The date is a function of popularity and costs ….

We know it is a bit earlier than usual, but we thought the venue worth the unique date …

We hope you can make it, should be fun!

Happy Happy Summer Friday!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.



Password Safe Keeping Idea, Confidential Portion of Your Personal Vault

Digital Assets, AKA your Passwords have become a challenging item for many. We find that in most cases, one party is controller of them and those single folks may not have an easy back-up.

Did you know your Personal Vault has a confidential folder area?

1 Minute Video –

Confidential File Area of Your Personal Vault

We know many of you may have a notebook with a special area that has all of your Passwords –

Our favorite –

An Excel file, NOT named “Passwords” – that has a very strong Excel password to open the file. You can even have the respective websites linked in the Excel file so when you go to your password file, you just click on the link for the website and boom your browser opens to that page ….

Share that Excel file password carefully, update the file whenever you have to do the eventual mandated password update for your selective sites!

Upload that file to your Confidential Area of your Vault, and you are set.

Have a Great “Safe Password” Day!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.

Finally – School is out, let the Summer begin … Shhh, putting the final touches on a neat ALL NEW venue for the Holiday Party – Audio Found

Some how, the unlucky gang ended up in one of that latest ending school years in the South…. sorry guys…

No matter, as of today, let the stay up late nights/sleep in late mornings begin… all good …

They are so much more happy with the last day of the year than the first… go figure

Schools Out


Holiday Party Planning

Shhhh … we are putting the final touches on what we think will be a very neat Holiday Party venue … the date looks to be slightly different due …. well to the venue – we think you will like it too, as soon as we put the final touches on the contract we will excitedly let you know!

Good News – the audio from the Robert Kaplan event has been retrieved … funny how the wrong download attachment found its way into the back pack – user error !

Have a GREAT “Beginning of the Summer” Friday!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.



Twenty Social Security Questions From the Field – Pat yourselves on the back, you did well!

So we prodded a bit …

But you guys responded …

We asked and you sent …

Thank You!

GREAT Social Security Questions for our Event this weekend3-20-19 - Invitatation to SS Info Event with Tom Clark_Page_1

Without further ado … here is the final list.. WOW!

  1. Last time we spoke you were VERY certain Social Security would be there for all of us upon retirement – With all of the changes, do you still feel this way?
  2. Can you explain the divorced verses divorced and remarried benefits?
  3. Have you ever heard of someone being offered a lump sum of retroactive Social Security benefits?
  4. November of 2015 ushered in new laws and changes, are there any neat techniques that survived?
  5. Can you explain non US citizen spousal benefits?
  6. We have been told many of the benefit statements are not always accurate, understating the actual eventual benefit, has this been your experience?
  7. How much can I earn and not receive penalties if I retire before my full retirement age?
  8. The Full Retirement Age keeps being pushed out, will this continue? Is there a schedule?
  9. How long do I have to report my Social Security earnings if they were not reported by an employer?
  10. For many years I did not draw on an ex-spouses earnings by accident – using only my earnings benefit, can I request some sort of look back to get my full benefits?
  11. If want to change my Social Security election decision after I made it and have been drawing benefits, Can I do that?
  12. Do I have to take Social Security Benefits ? What if I do not want to?
  13. Is it better to sign up in person or use the website, or does it matter?
  14. My wife is not a US citizen, does that affect her spousal benefits?
  15. Will Social Security always be there in your opinion?
  16. What percent of people take benefits early, at full retirement age and as late as possible?
  17. I am 65 and working with a good healthcare plan. I wasn’t going to sign up for Medicare until after I retire. However I am told a Medicare Part F; a supplemental plan eliminating deductibles, will not be available after 2019; Should I enroll and sign up for Part F?
  18. I was married for more than 10 years to a high income earner, if I get remarried to my new spouse who is not a high income earner, will I give up benefits?
  19. Have you seen any of the on-line Social Security Optimization Programs? If so, any you like better than others? (From JK)
  20. What are your thoughts about an income based phase out of Social Security in the future? Much like the penalty for W-2 income and having started early Social Benefits ? (From JK)

We will be forwarding this to Tom Clark shortly….

Great Work Guys!

Have a Great “Social Security Questions” Day!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.

Happy Holiday Weekend!

Best wishes today and for the weekend as we celebrate Easter and Passover as well as others.

As a reminder Capital Markets are closed as are our offices.

Have a Good Weekend!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP