In slow downs, things called Contra Rallies occur … we have mentioned this before, here, here and here and as the reminder chart below shows, they can be very large …
We are optimistic at heart but also realists when it comes to economic data and the effects of higher interest rates on the economy. And OH… the rallies can be big as the chart above, again from prior post exhibits.
We will call your attention to Contra Rallies relative the “sharp pullback” during growth times when that chapter finally arrives…not to worry it will…
Technology Dog Years
With a call to our IT folks due to a humming fan in the favorite dear laptop…. an assessment was made that the “Dear Laptop” was nearing the Century mark in computer terms…. With a new one in hand, almost identical to the old but with all the latest platform and security, let the downloading of programs and setting of shortcuts begin….already liking the faster hardware speed, clearer screen and speaker quality – yay
Cold Friday and Weekend
Traveling back over 1200 miles south to a Colder Climate was a bit surprising….But, hey it is a Friday and it is Texas… “If you do not like the weather, just wait a bit, it will change!”
Enjoy your Friday and maybe a Fire if you are near in proximity, and your weekend!
Welcome to our Video and Audio Podcast Review of our Q1 2023 Newsletter. For those on the road or just unable to grab the time to read, our podcast type review gives you the behind the scenes insight to our thoughts, observations and deep views of the entire Newsletter.
Click the Download button below, for a direct link to an electronic version (an early peek-good ole fashion paper versions are on their way to you shortly) and here for our Newsletter page
Entering the 36 year in the Financial and Capital Markets world, a lesson was learned this year (see below) we want to thank everyone for their well wishes, patience and confidence as we went through a unique “Changing of the Tiger Stripes” event this year!
Higher Rates – Longer – CPI Stubbornly High
CPI Causes Tiger Stripes to Change?
Very Lagging Rent and Shelter Numbers keep pushing CPI
Estate Tax Laws Set to Change – Heads Up
At the end of 2025, putting January 1, 2026 into play, without any tax law adjustments the Estate Tax level will adjust back down to somewhere between a $7 to $8 million or $14 to $16 million for couples level.
While Estate Tax is not a huge revenue earner for the IRS, in our opinion Estate tax is in purpose is to affect the very largest of the states think $100 million and up.
Additionally the IRS is having trouble completing regular federal tax returns, by some estimates some 15 to 20 thousand taxpayers are still waiting on their regular federal returns to be blessed by the IRS from 2020 to present. Lowering the Estate Tax level to an extreme low, while may sound good in the headlines, impracticality, it will likely create a huge bottleneck and more trouble than money earned.
Wishing everyone a Season’s Greeting, Happy Holidays and a Merry Christmas!
As a “Heads Up” in the Financial world, there is a Bill (Secure Act 2.0 aka HR 2954) going through Congress that is likely to pass before years end … Recall in late December of 2019 Secure Act 1.0 was passed and signed into law, only to be lost in the multitude of laws around the virus and relief…
While not into law yet…. a few high points include:
Another increase in RMD (Required Minimum Distributions) age to 73 – currently age 72
401k and other similar increased contribution levels
Will keep you posted… but wanted to let you know we are watching closely!
While today is a Jerome Powell raise rates day…. we promised a lighter run into the end of the year unless otherwise necessary….
Couple of Challenges on this one … takes a while to get through the entire animation… but if you do, take note of a few items… this from Data is Beautiful YouTube Website
Check out the tone/subject matter of the early 90’s versus 2020 and to current?
Had no idea how popular NCIS was… Wow!
Did you figure out the difference between early years and now? In the late 80’s and early 90’s most popular Series were Comedy…. today, very hard core serious along with lots of death…. hmmmm… Good ole days!
Have a Great “Lighter Most Popular TV Series” Day!
While it is not only the Holiday Season… Can you tell we are pretty excited? Ok, Ok Digressing
It’s also Clean Up those messy unwanted constant emails time! yay – We can celebrate this !
We sure enjoyed the first group event as mentioned here…. a whirlwind trip to a higher altitude to share and visit with peers, back office folks…. BUT a requirement of attendance was the delivery of our contact information to the MASSIVE amount of vendors attending the event….
Lots of unfamiliar emails continue to build in the inbox daily…. about a week ago the annual “Unsubscribe” response commenced and already the inbox is feeling less full and less stressed….. Yep sometimes you have to really squint those eyes at the very end of the email, and yep sometimes a frog is kissed and the link goes nowhere….. but keep trying and you will get all of them cleared…..
Nice to have a clear inbox for those New Years Resolutions to commence!
With a short turn around trip early this week and a bit of a Thanksgiving whirl wind conclusion…. ByTheWay Thanksgiving is really becoming a favorite Holiday – Everyone for the most part is “Thankful” …. some seasonal Movies commence that are usually light hearted and fun…. even some radio stations go 24/7 Holiday tunes… what is not to like? Ok… digressing…
With the end of the month coming, a make up from bad weather trip early this week…. and Donald the Brain with return home transportation troubles…. A lighter start to the week … speaking of music?
Billions Downloaded Music Club – Spotifiy and Visual Capitalist
See Below for details – tried twice and picture still not great quality
Here is the site from our friends at Visual Capitalist – Top 20 of a total 300 club!
Play count (billions)
Track length (secs)
Shape of You
Tones And I
Someone You Loved
Say You Won’t Let Go
The Kid LAROI
Don’t Start Now
Thinking out Loud
Have a Great “Ease into Holiday Season Post Thanksgiving” Day!
Office Hours – Out this week – Tethered for Emergencies
With all of our Families getting the full week off for Thanksgiving…. the decision was made to let everyone take some much needed R&R this week….
Yours truly is out of town and out of the state, but will be holding the fort down with electronics for any Emergencies that may occur…
DMA Post Party Fun – Pictures
The now 15 year old, Pierce, has a great eye for photography…. but a shy personality for taking picture of “Strangers” to him…. everyone at the party were like family of course, but not to him!
The pictures of anyone Pierce did not know, were …. well rough… but those that he did know came out great….and the DMA art, statues and other … we will let you make your own decision…
For the record privacy laws keep us from posting any pictures of non employee’s so you are all protected anyway… all is fair game for J.K. Financial, Inc. employees…
Oh…one last thing before we show you the pictures… with so many new followers, we plan on showing our most popular Video Ever … a non-edited frustrated, but humorous video from many years back…. We promise… last time!
The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. To determine which investments may be appropriate for you, please consult your financial advisor prior to investing!
The is the vocal portion of J.K. Financial, Inc. a Dallas Texas Based Fee Only Total Wealth Financial Planning Firm. Founded by John Kvale, a Dallas Texas Fee only Financial Planner and Total Wealth Manager.