Category Archives: General Financial Planning

5 Positives This Week, With A Personal Lead Off!

As we posted last week’s positives we felt the crowd beginning to take up residence on our Zig side, while the Zaggers were losing their footing. In the time it takes to snap your fingers, crowds once again left our side and took residence on the dark side, giving us a clear runway for this week’s positives:

So Here We Go:

Congratulations to Randi, Our Newest Full Fledged Attorney: Most of you know Donald’s wife has been completing law school for the last several years. This week brings official notice of what Randi and Donald had known for some time. It is now official, Randi is an attorney, and on her way to becoming one of the top public attorneys in the country. Well done Randi, and thanks for the lead in this week’s positives!

90 Day Treadmillers Continue to Impress: While is seems just like yesterday that earnings season began, it now is coming to an end. Lost in the shuffle of “To Greek or Not To Greek”, was an oustanding performance by publicly traded executives. This positive has gone somewhat unnoticed at this time, but continues to bring value to capital markets at the P, in the P/E multiple. As the P (Price) stays flat and the E continues to grow, values become less expensive. Well Done Fellas!

FOMC, Economy Doing Better: This point is a perfect example of why we Zig while others Zag, click here for the FOMC statement in it’s entirety,  this is the first sentence from the Feds press release:

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in September indicates that economic growth strengthened somewhat in the third quarter, reflecting in part a reversal of the temporary factors that had weighed on growth earlier in the year.

Here are a few dark side headlines from the next day, again showing why we Zig while others Zag:

Fed Lowers Job Forecast” Wall Street Journal
Fed Lowers US GDP forecast, Mulls More Actions” Economic Times

Here is a fellow Zigger, showing how the exact same item can be viewed in a totally different way:

Upbeat Federal Reserve, Doesn’t Hamper Gold“  The Street

This is just another reminder why we keep on Zigging!

Economic Data Continues to be Positive: Name your economic report this week as Jobless Claims, Retail Sales, Productivity, and of course our prior mentioned Fed Policy meeting was positive.  While none of the economic data is roaring, the data continues to “keep it’s feet moving” as our old football coaches used to bark, making for another positive this week in our book!

ECB Cuts Rates: A major positive splash that went unknown and unnoticed. Mario Draghi the newly minted ECB chief made his presence known with a rate cut. Recall, rate cuts are meant to spur growth and are a definite tailwind to economic prosperity. Draghi appears ready to take decisive action over the various big sister and little brother situation, which makes for our final positive of the week!

Stay tuned, and thanks for Zigging with us again this week.

Have a Great Day and a Super Weekend!

JK

214-706-4300

Dad’s Legacy to Be Sold – A Proper Estate Planning Primer

With the death of Kal Zeff, a multifamily Denver, Colorado, real estate magnet, the story of his heirs beginning to liquidate his properties may seem sad at first, but we think it is worth a closer look, as there are many parts of this situation that we would be fortunate to emulate.

While Mr. Zeff’s estate is grand in size and complex in nature, we have been witness to many, much smaller, simpler issues that have unfortunately not been a smooth transition. Mr. Zeff has left his estate in a situation that has made it fluid for his heirs to do what they want without difficulties. Many dream of the children carrying on the family business, but in reality, this is not always the case.

The goal in any estate plan should be to effectuate an orderly tax efficient distribution to the next generation, while allowing for a continuation of the business, if any, or all, of the children choose to do so. While it is impossible to anticipate every nuance of the distribution, a focus on straight forward, less complex, transfers and distributions may help.

In our experience, here are a few key items to help streamline a smooth transition:

  • Have your Wills, Trusts, deeds, titles, loan and other related documents in a safe place that someone, preferably your Executor, knows the location.
  • Make sure you have a good Executor. This person will have a key role in the transition process. Your Executor should be familiar with your team of advisors i.e. Planner, Accountant, Estate Attorney.
  • Let the heirs have a general idea where and what the assets are, and what direction they may be directed. Size and amounts are not the important part of this discussion, focusing on location and direction is a much greater concern.
  • Allow the Children an easy way of selling the assets, they most likely will not want everything you have accumulated, and if they do, you will already know it. Pokes from the grave make for a funny story while living, but in reality can cause angst.
  • Be sure to acknowledge all heirs, even if assets are not intended to be distributed to them, if not, the assumption may be that you have forgotten them.
  • Fluid, simple, smooth process which is dynamic, and will continue to change from tax laws and important decision makers is key. Well written Estate planning documents will achieve this, do not attempt to over complicate the situation.

Your Financial Planning Advisor should monitor your situation for changes in tax laws, estate planning techniques, and most importantly, your wishes. The Estate Planning Attorney creates the documents, make changes as necessary, and may also communicate with you concerning changes in techniques or laws.

Lastly, while this information may seem easy and logical on first glance, completing a good Estate Plan is much harder than many realize, so do not get frustrated. Take your time, and review our items above.

Be sure to check with the appropriate advisor for directions, as we are not Estate Attorneys, and are not recommending any specific action, only sharing information from the previously well traveled, “path of hard knocks.”

Have a Great Day!

JK

214-706-4300

Do As I Say, Not As I Boooo! Don’t Walk the Financial Tightrope

On this Happy Halloween day, hopefully you caught our funny parity title, which this time, was NOT a typo, we wanted to share with you another example of Diversification’s importance.

Today a Broker Dealer Firm, mostly involved with commodity trading and clearing, is filing for bankruptcy protection. One of the apparent culprits, concentrated investments.

This brings up a super emotional topic for us, as professional investors such as ourself,  preach diversification as the core part of their strategy. There are sexy stories of investors betting the farm on something,  hitting red, and taking home all the marbles. In the speed at which markets move today, this is like walking a tight rope across two tall buildings, without a net, balancing pole, shoes, and a loose knot at one end of the rope. You might make it every once in a while, but the times you do not are really bad!

In today’s market climate, diversification and prudence are a pre-requisite of any investment portfolio.

As a basic rule, if one investment can make you rich, or worse, make you poor, you are not diversified. Almost any investment should be able to accidentally fall in great value, and damage, but not destroy, an investors’ portfolio.

On a Ghostly, chocolate energy enriched day, boring prudence is still good !

Happy Halloween !

JK

217-706-4300

www.jkfinancialinc.com

“Clear The Mechanism”

In the 1999 (hard to believe it was that long ago) Kevin Costner movie “For the Love of the Game”  Billy Chapel leans forward and utters the words “Clear the Mechanism” forcing himself to tune out the noise, distractions, and focusing his attention only at the task at hand, making a good pitch and thereby striking his batter out.

In an interesting comparison in investing, given today’s constant pounding of headlines (there goes my twitter news feed to my phone now..haha) one thing Billy can help us all remember,  is to tune out the noise.

Technology has helped us make great innovations, accelerate many facets of business and certainly brought better investing techniques. However, given the sometimes negative and totally conflicting headlines, a little Billy Chapel may do us all better as investors.

Have a Great Day!

JK

PS Go Rangers!

214-706-4300

www.jkfinancialinc.com

Social Security Recipients to Get a Raise of 3.6% in 2012

For the first time since 2009, much to the happiness of Social Security recipients, a 3.6% raise beginning in January of 2012 will go into effect.

Not to look a gift horse in the mouth, but to stay grounded, here are a couple of items for recipients to remember:

  • Medicare premiums will be rising, substantially, in some cases, which may cut into the net increase.
  • There have been talks of adjusting the methods for calculating COLA adjustments in the future. These possible adjustments appear to tone down the future increases.

Bottom line, enjoy the increase as it has been a long time in coming!

Have a Great Day!

JK

214-706-4300

www.jkfinancialinc.com

Common Items That Can Render Your Will Ineffective

A Will is one of the most fundamental devices in Estate Planning and organization of funds, but many may accidentally stumble, rendering this tool ineffective.

One of the most important items to know when reviewing your, or any other Will, is not to write on it. While this sounds obvious, as it would be impossible for an outside party to determine when the marking occurred i.e. before or after death, it is sometimes second nature to want to scribble a note, or mark through a beneficiary, and initial your change. Do not do it, it will cause problems! Certain drafts of Wills do have areas for specific requests of personal items which most times clearly state it is ok to make an adjustment. If in doubt, do not mark on it, just to be safe.

Moving to a new state MAY render your current Will ineffective. State laws vary from region, and while certain areas of the US do seamlessly work in other states, there are instances where the language from one state to another is so different, your prior residence state laws may render your current Will ineffective. If in doubt, seek the advice of an Attorney for a definitive opinion on your specific situation. It is a good policy for anyone moving to a new state to have their Will updated, seamless language or not.

Accounts with beneficiary designations are not generally controlled by your Will, thereby rendering it ineffective for controlling these assets. IRA, Insurance and other similarly beneficiary designated assets are directed by the beneficiary on the specific account. A Will does not override the direction of these self-directed beneficiary assets, however, a Will may be the beneficiary of these assets, giving the Will power to direct. Be certain you understand your beneficiary recipients.

These are just a few items we often see confusion in when discussing Will and other Estate Planning items. We recommend you review your Will, Beneficiary, and Estate Planning items, every 3-5 years, or sooner as necessary as your specific situation may deem. Tax law changes may expedite the need to review your Estate Planning Documents as well.

We are not attorneys and suggest you consult your legal professional prior to making any changes to your current plans.

Have a Good Day!

JK

What a 2% 10 Year Treasury Yield Really Means

Undoubtedly the record-breaking low yield on the US Government treasury security has caught the attention of most. Weather mortgage rates, car loans, or even the collaterally changed checking account rates, most understand rates are very low and have experienced this in one way or another. What is missed by many is the fact that low-interest rates are an excellent predictor of future growth.

In the bones of financial computations, just as 2 + 2 must equal 4, low interest rates, especially in the longer term maturities, such as the 10 year term are a predictor of future economic growth rates and inflation.

While a 2% long-term treasury yield, in financial terms, is predicting a slower longer term economic growth period for the United States this does not spell doom for the capital markets as this rate is also predicting a slower rate of inflation. Capital market growth is a function of economic growth but not entirely as there has been no proven correlation to economic growth and capital market returns, a subject for another day.

Here is an estimate of long-term stock market returns from my favorite NYU academic valuation professor Aswath Damodaran.

While the expected return is lower than that of the 70′s and 80′s, it is much higher than the return received over the last 10 years.

Bottom line, we would not be surprised to have continued slower economic growth, however capital market growth may not be inhibited terribly by this slower growth.

Have a Good Day!

JK

Unclaimed Money to Start Your Week, Take a Look, it only Takes A Minute

We have found www.missingmoney.com to be one of the best websites to find forgotten and unclaimed funds. Within a few seconds, you should be able to check for your own, and other family member’s unclaimed accounts across the country.

Usually there are not extremely large amounts of money in these pools, I personally, and also family members, have found old deposits and forgotten bank accounts that have been closed into these unclaimed pools.

In our opinion it is worth the few moments of your time to review this information, and to claim your funds, especially given the fact that doing so will possibly remove your name from another mailing list, and may also help with future confidentiality, not to mention the possibility of finding a few extra bucks.

Have a Great Start to your week !

JK

Paper Social Security Statements Absent This Year

We have commented various times on the importance of taking a few moments to review your annual social security statement, most recently in our in our Q 1 2011 Newsletter which can be found on our Newsletter page. One of the key items to review is your credited quarters and salary, as there are constraints from the Social Security Administration in correcting these reported amounts if incomplete.

As luck would have it, within a few months of our directing you to the importance of reviewing your statements, the following showed up on the Social Security website.

In light of the current budget situation, we have suspended issuing Social Security Statements” reads the Social Security website.

After speaking to the Social Security office for clarity, here is what I have found out:

  1. Currently there is not an electronic means to check our hours
  2. The abstention of paper statements is not permanent, yet
  3. Reports can be made directly to your local Social Security office for confirmation of benefit (See below)

Since the statements are not being permanently halted at this time, it is important, that we as tax payers, make sure we keep good records of our earnings history, (W-2′s) in case there are reporting problems.

We will update you on the status of next year’s statements, as a second year of absence would create more urgency for the agency to allow an electronic statement, which I requested they implement during my conversation with the administration.

Have a Good Day!

JK

Possible Money in Your Mailbox, Again

Settlement checks from various large Financial Companies are being mailed again. We occasionally alert investors to keep an eye out for possible money coming to them in the mail, this again is one of those times we want to alert investors.

If you are an investor receiving a settlement, it is important to remember if this settlement  was from an IRA account, it must be deposited back into an IRA or it will be deemed a taxable distribution. Please call our office if you have ANY questions.

Money in the Mail ?

As an investor we should pay extra attention to our mail box over the next several weeks as settlement checks are sent with little warning and are delivered via US Postal Service in an unassuming envelope.

Settlements checks often come from investments you may not have held for over 10 years. Mosf of the checks are a result of the after market trading lawsuits stretching back to the late 90′s and may not even be the same name of investment you had at the time.

With little to no warning, unsuspicious delivery packaging, and junk mail scattered in many investor mailboxes, it is a good idea to make sure you do not file 13 any mail before thoroughly reviewing.

Have a Good Day!

JK