Category Archives: Political

SPECIAL CARE ACT EDITION – PLEASE SHARE – Q 2 2020 Newsletter Video Audio Podcast Review By John Kvale

Click Here for direct link to an electronic version (an early peek-good ole fashion paper versions are on their way to you shortly) and here for our Newsletter page

Break In : If you don’t have a Twitter account, the time is now – many of the CARE ACT services are crashing their regular sites, as such communication is being made via Twitter … If you REALLY do not want a Twitter account, just use it as a browser, however by having an account you can subscribe to whatever entity you need to follow and you will be notified immediately as they comment.

This is also useful for following your industry organization, important company or almost anything you may need immediate notification.

 

Let’s get going!

Just so you know this was hurried with a call before and just after this video, so it was not edited as normal … but wanted to get this out to as many as possible as fast as possible… Never claimed to be a Spielberg .. haha … prompt, complete delivery of this information was very important at the moment!

Thanks in advance!

Q 2 2020 Newsletter

 

The CARE ACT –

On Friday March 27th 2020, a stimulus package was passed into law for the benefit of those being effected by the Corona Virus officially starting the clock for many programs.

The general spirit of the most important parts of the bill is getting money into the hands of consumers quickly AND attempting to incentivize employers to keep workers on the payroll!

Recovery Rebate

Checks Being Sent to Over 90% of the population

Each person to receive $1200, kids UNDER age 17 credited to parents at $500 each, no limit in headcount.

This Rebate is NOT TAXABLE!

The payout is likely to be sent out end of April or early May!

The applicable AGI phase out threshold amounts are as follows:

  • Married Joint: $150,000
  • Head of Household: $112,500
  • All Other Filers: $75,000

One time Maximum $100k IRA Distribution Available in 2020 Only

Investors affected by the Corona Virus can take a maximum of $100k of a Corona Virus impacted distribution from your IRA or Employer related plans.

  • There will be no 10% penalty for the withdrawal.
  • There will also be no 20% mandatory withholding.
  • You must take this distribution by 12-31-20.

You can repay this distribution within three years and have NO TAXES. You may stagger payback contributions over any time frame as long as you pay all of it back within three years of the day you received the distribution in order not to have taxes due on the distribution.

RMD’s (Required Minimum Distributions) Waived in 2020

All RMD’s for any and all mandatory plans are waived as of 2020.

This includes all types of RMD’s including those with the five year rule.

Next year will not mandate a doubling of the RMD.

Next years RMD will be on the higher mandated level, but again will not cause a duplicate.

One Off Charitable Deduction – Small – Available Only to Non Itemizers

Included in the new Coronal Stimulus package is a one time above the line, Charitable Donation Write off of $300.

This amount is only available to those who do not itemize.

Pandemic Unemployment Insurance Benefit

A New Pandemic Unemployment Benefit available to those effected by the Corona Virus.

This benefit is additionally available to those that may not have had access before, mainly self-employed individuals.

This new benefit is $600/week and lasts for four months.

There is also the elimination of the first week waiting period, allowing those immediate access if needed.

Student Loan Deferral

No payments required until September 30th of 2020!

No interest will accrue during the interim.

Must notify your loan provider if you are on automatic payment.

Paycheck Protection Program – AKA SBA Loan Program

Forgiveness loan that can be totally FREE to small business owners if they qualify and use the funds appropriately. If not, they will receive a possible 10 year term, 4% maximum interest rate from the Small Business Association, happily administered by qualified local banks in an attempt to speed the process of getting the loans to business owners.

The purpose of this loan is too keep your people employed!

Available for business owners of less than 500 people who were or have been adversely affected by the Corona Virus.

Must certify Good Faith that the business has been affected by the Virus. Which can include uncertainty of the future.

Must be applied for by June 30, 2020!

Repayments will not commence until at least six months and no longer than twelve months.

Loan amount is the lesser of $10 mllion or 2.5 times your average monthly payroll in 2019 – EXCLUDING AMOUNTS OVER $100K ANNUALLY

Capital Market Update –

Bonds are so good they are Bad

Given the speed of the equity stock, drop due to the ever expanding Coronavirus. Investors were caught flat-footed and in a dash for cash, sold their old faithful bond holdings which are viewed favorably again due to their safety.

Using history as our guide, not only does this correct itself, but also likely turns out to go even higher in value, which is what happens when rates go down and bonds go up.

In closing, one more bit of good news in almost all cases we will have reinvestment of income at these lower prices, taking advantage of that pricing for our own benefit.

2-26-20 VBMFX - Largest Bond Fund in World

We hope you enjoy … talk to you in the Summer !!!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
www.jkfinancialinc.com
www.street-cents.com

Q 1 2020 Extended (12 Page) Newsletter Video Audio Podcast Review By John Kvale

Welcome to our Video and Audio Podcast Review of our Q 1 2020 Newsletter. For those on the road or just unable to grab the time to read, our podcast type review gives you the behind the scenes insight to our thoughts, observations and deep views of the entire Newsletter.

Click Here for direct link to an electronic version (an early peek-good ole fashion paper versions are on their way to you shortly) and here for our Newsletter page

Let’s get going!

All New Pictures, Intro and Exit Music !

Q 1 2020 Newsletter

Click for PDF/Printable Version

 

Is Inheritance Taxable ?

This, our lead financial planning article for the newsletter-  With the subject of inheritance and the taxability of it occurring multiple times in the most recent quarter, the idea for this article spawned.

After completing the initial article, a continuation article idea also occurred which made the second part of the inheritance subject matter about being separate property.

We hope you enjoyed both articles and this was our lead financial planning articles.

All about the Car

In another fun personal financial planning two – part article, long desired, but fearful of writing …this article discusses the car, should you buy or lease and how to do so. Again, a second article occurred at a chance meeting in an airplane with a former law officer watching me finish the first article on the airplane!

In doing the research for these articles we ran across a really cool car research site, and mentioned some great buying resources as well.

Recession Thwarted – Capital Market Thoughts

To ignore new evidence in our minds is silly even if it goes against the grain of what you may have been saying!

In this article we review a CFA speaker’s slide about lowering rates during a recession and his conclusion. Bottom line, we’ve not been a big fan of lowering rates during economic growth, but an inverted yield curve which is highly predictive of a coming recession, along with lowering of rates, according to the speaker and the enclosed chart leads to a thwarting of the recession.

We hope we are wrong on this one and the speaker is correct!



Reach back to last year’s taxes in savings you can do now

In this article we discuss the remaining tax savings ideas that we can do this year, that will help last year’s taxes-

  • The SEP – Simplified Employee Pension
  • HSA – for the Health Savings Account
  • IRA – An oldie but a Goodie if it’s available to you
  • Roth – While not a tax saver you can do it now for last year’s taxes
  • Itemized itemize itemize – With today’s high standard deductions you may not be able to itemize but we remind that it’s a good idea to stay in shape as it’s likely these itemize deductions may come back in the future

We hope you enjoy … talk to you in the Spring !!!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
www.jkfinancialinc.com
www.street-cents.com

Q 4 2019 Newsletter Video Audio Podcast Review By John Kvale

Welcome to our Video and Audio Podcast Review of our Q 4 2019 Newsletter. For those on the road or just unable to grab the time to read, our podcast type review gives you the behind the scenes insight to our thoughts, observations and deep views of the entire Newsletter.

Click Here for direct link to an electronic version (an early peek-good ole fashion paper versions are on their way to you shortly) and here for our Newsletter page

Let’s get going!

Q 4 2019 Newsletter

Click for PDF/printable version of Newsletter

 

And here is your review!

Is it Time to Refinance?

With Mortgage rates moving lower, we discuss the major items to think of when refinancing your Mortgage.

Our most clever point is we like to have an 18 month payback for the costs when refinancing… this serves as a good barometer on when to refinance, irrespective of the size of your Mortgage.

 

30 Year US Avg Mortgage Rate

 

Tariff Talk

It’s been going on for a long time

Trade Wars AKA Tariff talks have been around for a long time. This is not our first rodeo… notice how trade has been more efficient over time!

 

us-trade-wars-history Cropped

End of Year Tax Reminders

While there are a lot of reach back tax items i.e. Things we can do next year for this years taxes… there are many that have a firm year end deadline-

  • RMD – Required Minimum Distributions
  • Company Related Retirement plans i.e. 401k
  • Charitable Donations
  • 529 and other education programs

We hope you enjoy … talk to you in ….. 2020 WOOOW !!!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
www.jkfinancialinc.com
www.street-cents.com

FOMC Meeting and Interest Rate Update from Last Week

Last week, here in our preview of the meeting post, we discussed what the Federal Open Market Committee would likely review via the fortunate lunch with local Dallas Federal Reserve Chair Robert Kaplan and even had direct audio from the event.

We know it’s summer and we know many of you may be taking much needed R and R, but the FOMC meeting last week was surprisingly important.

Bottom Line: No rate lowering but rhetoric that was taken by market participants as a lowering is in the cards sooner rather than later!

Important Update Meeting Review

Jerome Powell, FOMC Chair released his decision to NOT lower rates ….

our comments….

From information gathered via the audio and economic data points available at the time, we felt strongly that the FOMC would not LOWER rates, that’s in bold because until just recently, many thought future increases may be in the cards.

However … this statement, in the FOMC press release was deemed to mean rates will be lower at the next meeting, which put wind int he sails of Capital Markets …

“The Committee continues to view sustained expansion of economic activity, strong labor market conditions, and inflation near the Committee’s symmetric 2 percent objective as the most likely outcomes, but uncertainties about this outlook have increased. In light of these uncertainties and muted inflation pressures, the Committee will closely monitor the implications of incoming information for the economic outlook and will act as appropriate to sustain the expansion, with a strong labor market and inflation near its symmetric 2 percent objective.”

Here is the joint estimate of FOMC members for  GDP (Gross Domestic Production-broadest estimate of US growth) for the remainder of the year … note an expectation of slightly slower growth for the remainder of the year and into 2020/21:

6-19-19 GDP Estimate FOMC

There is also a Dot Chart that shows where FOMC members expect rates to be over the same time period, but it was a mess and confusing…so we left it out!

Not playing Economist here, but there is a lot of room for lowering or NOT lowering as well… time will tell, but for now the general consensus for the next meeting which is at the end of July (30-31) is for a lowering of rates, at least by most Market Participants or those with a microphone  …. Call us skeptical of agreeing at this time….

Bottom Line: No rate lowering but rhetoric that was taken by market participants as a lowering is in the cards sooner rather than later!

There are some nice positives that come with these expectations… Mortgage Rates will likely continue to stay low and may even go lower!

Sorry if we got into the weeds, but we wanted to clarify the slightly blurry statement, reaction, and expectations!

Have a Great “FOMC Meeting Update” Day!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
jkfinancialinc
street-cents

Timely G-20/Tariff Meeting Chart – World GDP

It appears the Tariff talks continue to go on…

We are personally surprised as we thought much of this was posturing and there would be an agreement sooner rather than later …

This weekend at the G-20 meeting (here is a cool live China site on the matter) there is hope to finally settle the Tariff concerns…

Will see – if they do, market participants may likely sound a sigh of relief… and visa versa …

Our Friends at Visual Capitalist/How Much.com are out with a neat chart to keep the matters in perspective..

World GDP at a Glance

world-economy-gdp

Have a Great “World GDP Updated” Day!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
jkfinancialinc
street-cents

 

Fire Hydrant Volume of Company and CEO Meetings – Southwest Ideas Conference – 70 Publicly Traded Companies

Once a year, luckily we are invited to a local event that includes over 70 – yes it has grown to 70 publicly traded company visits and presentations…

Annual Southwest Ideas Conference

Through two close friends, one who organizes the event and the other who owns the company that organizes the event, we are invited, luckily, once again to the Southwest Ideas Conference here in Dallas –Southwest Ideas Investor Conference

This year’s event includes over 70 publicly traded companies of various size, location and industry –

We love this event as it gives us a chance to not only meet C – level executives of these companies up close and personal, but to also hear their outlooks, economic forecasts, insights, and general feelings of what is going on in their various industries….

We look forward to the rapid fire, multi-meeting all day event and look forward to bringing you any interesting updates that we may stumble upon…

Have a Great “Fire Hydrant C Level Visits” Day!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
jkfinancialinc
street-cents

Great Economic News – Why Some are Frowning?

On Friday, the Bureau Of Labor Statistics (BLS) released their regularly monthly employment report – this is the first report in some time where ….

“Good News is Bad News?” 

Here is why some believe this!

Good Economic News  = Bad News?

Last Friday, November 2, 2018 the BLS released their regular monthly employment report that showed terrific economic numbers.

A fantastic, total 3.7% unemployment rate.

11-2-18 BLS Emp Report

In addition to the above Unemployment level, average hourly earnings were also released and they were up 3.1% year over year — breathing a much needed pay increase to many ….

The bad news for many is that they believe these good numbers will give the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ammunition for continued rate increases.

Currently FOMC members are on record saying they will raise rates in December and three more times next year (2019).

The worry is an eventual inverted yield curve – which we have mentioned many times is a very good precursor to a recession!

11-2-18 90 daty v 10 year fredgraph

By looking at this chart, we are far from an inverted yield curve at this time- leading us to believe this “Good News = Bad News” may be very unwarranted…

Now you know the rest of the story !

Have a Great “Good News is GOOD News” Day!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
jkfinancialinc
street-cents