Category Archives: Monthly Review

November 2018 Podcast Video, Financial Planning and Capital Market Update – By John Kvale

Hello and Welcome to our November 2018 Financial Planning and Capital Market Update!

If you are too busy to read, feel free to listen as we describe our post and thoughts in friendly podcast format as well as Video!

Newbies – We like to articulate our thoughts and review on a Monthly basis our Financial Planning Tips, Capital Markets and current events!

November – 2018 Video

Financial Planning Tip (s) –

Clump – Maximizing the new standard deduction

With a $12k individual standard deduction and double that for joint filers it takes work to maximize the standard deduction threshold… Add the fact that SALT State and Local Tax deductions are now limited to $10k annually, clumping expenses into one year as mentioned here in our post and visually below may be the only way to get above the standard deductions for many …

Clumping Taxes

Capital Market Comments –

Powell Signals a Slower Rate Increase

Current FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) chairman Jerome Powell signaled the rate increases may be closer to over than just was stated just a month earlier… where a December increase, which is still almost certain, but three additional increases were promised in 2019 – not any more.

Given the long/lower rates of the last decade, it is not a surprise that the new normal may be lower –

Market Participants cheered this statement!

10-31-18 Fed Funds Rate

Have a Great Day – Talk to you at the end of December!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
www.jkfinancialinc.com
street-cents

October — BOOOO- 2018 Podcast Video, Financial Planning and Capital Market Update – By John Kvale

Hello and Welcome to our October 2018 Financial Planning and Capital Market Update!

If you are too busy to read, feel free to listen as we describe our post and thoughts in friendly podcast format as well as Video!

Newbies – We like to articulate our thoughts and review on a Monthly basis our Financial Planning Tips, Capital Markets and current events!

A Special Congrats to the Capones growing family!

Nathan Elliott Capone

Nathan Capone

October – Booo – 2018 Video

Break In – Holiday Party Reminder

10-9-18 - Holiday Party Invitation

 

Financial Planning Tip (s) –

RMD Season

In our explanative post here, we overview the RMD season items …. and remind those in the first year of their chose to defer or take …

  1. RMD $$ mandated amounts are determined by the value of applicable accounts on the last day of the prior year
  2. Current year age is a necessary factor included in calculating the RMD – see below next, first time exception – each year of seasoning (getting older) we are forced to take more out of the applicable accounts – hey the IRS has never taxed us on these in many cases – it’s their time!
  3. After tax contributions to a qualified account MUST be accounted for in order to avoid taxes – here are greater details and our taxpayer obligations on this –  don’t overpay – the IRS is not tracking this and will not come to the rescue and lower your taxes
  4. All of an individual’s accounts must be included/totaled/value (certain exceptions are made to those continuing to work) to ascertain the needed distribution
  5. Any one account can be used to satisfy the needed distribution (you do not have to take a little from each account, making it easier from an organization standpoint) BUT you must take at least the minimum distribution
  6. Failure to take the mandated distribution amount COULD result in a 100% tax – Break in – our experience has been the IRS is nice about this, but let’s not test them

Social Security COLA Bump

Congratulations to those on a fixed income, the Social Security Administration SSA’s favorite inflation gauge measured a 2.8% increase, which we review in our post here and also even created this neat historical graph for our collective review…

2019 Cola SS

 

Capital Market Comments –

Suddenly it’s Raining?

After a drop at the beginning of 2018 – mostly blamed on a creative synthetic product that bets risk will stay low (XIV) our patience was rewarded and footing found … until Ugly October came to roost…

What Gives?

At this time, no one with 100% certainty, can pin point what turned the market sky’s grey and sent rain…

Oddly, it may not be any one thing, just like an auto accident – usually multiple items occur at the same time that lead to an opening for contact with another …

Here are our best thoughts in order of our priority/possibility – again no one knows for sure…

  1. Trendy high flying stocks that have been a momentum favorite, suddenly took it on the chin – alone in time not a big deal – seen next
  2. Most mutual funds and many other assets managers close their books at the end of October – many heavily invested in the above trendy stocks had their year turn very ugly right at the finish line, possibly setting a musical chair like exit, causing much more volatility than what would have otherwise occurred if not so near the end of many fiscal years – an extra worry juggle ball in the air
  3. Mid-Term elections are finally here, and it is unlikely anyone can predict with any certainty the outcome of the elections – capital market participants hate uncertainty – not a big deal if this was all they are watching, but another juggle/worry ball up in the air
  4. Interest Rate Increase banter on how many an how long rates will increase before being “Normal” – we have discussed in great length the inverted yield curve and while we are no where near this event, yes… another juggle worry ball in the air
  5. Tarif Talk has been around all year, but looks to come to more of a peak near the end of the year – yet another worry/juggle ball up in the air

The good news is the sun will likely come out again soon, but in true rain like fashion, it seems like the days go by SLOOOOWER when your stuck inside, under cover, without sun!

The GREAT news is earnings have been for the most part very good, not GREAT and screaming as they had earlier in the year, but still very good by comparison.

MAYBE ? – we are just overdue for a correction – This fantastic chart from our friends at JPMorgan reminds us all that these type of corrections are more of the norm, not the abnorm – we have just been without regular bouts for some time!

Q4 18 JPMorgan drawdowns

Have a Great Day – Talk to you at the end of November!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
www.jkfinancialinc.com
street-cents

September 2018 Podcast Video, Financial Planning and Capital Market Update – By John Kvale

Hello and Welcome to our September 2018 Financial Planning and Capital Market Update!

If you are too busy to read, feel free to listen as we describe our post and thoughts in friendly podcast format as well as Video too!

Newbies – We like to articulate our thoughts and review on a Monthly basis our Financial Planning Tips, Capital Markets and current events!

This is month two of our upgraded Laptop, which means a new recording system of Audio and Video — while still working the kinks out, we are getting the hang of it – Enjoy!

September 2018 Video

Financial Planning Tip (s) –

The Emergency FundMoney - dollar-941246_1920

In our post here, a shortened version of an article in the coming Newsletter, we review all, about a much needed Emergency Fund, and the levels for certain scenarios.

Reasons to be slightly bigger-

  • Possible Job Change – Need to be higher on emergency funds
  • New Family Member- Higher is better
  • New Home – Expect unforeseen expenses – they always occur (Has anyone ever built or bought a home in less time and for less money than they thought? Nope, it’s in our nature)
  • Salary Fluctuations i.e. Commissions – Error on the higher side of that emergency fund
  • Others dependent on you – Business owner, large family, solo income earners, college or wedding – Higher is better

Reasons for a normal to smaller Emergency fund-

  • Dual Similar Incomes – Lower Emergency fund is ok
  • Very stable Job – Smaller side of the living expenses will
  • Very fixed income stability – Pensions, Social, etc.

High Deductibles – Why to Consider

In this post, we discuss the reasons for considering a Higher Deductible lifestyle –

Break In – There are always situations that a High Deductible will not work, we are just pointing out the advantages, under the correct circumstances!

Auto Insurance: One of the best ideas to consider a high deductible – take a look here at the great examples of why.

Home Owners: Another great coverage to consider a higher deductible.

Health Insurance: Once again a good one, but certain situations can easily negate the advantages of this!

Capital Market Comments – Interest Rates and Bonds

Short Term Headwinds Of Higher Rates on Bonds

This busy chart gives a great picture of the short term effects of interest rates on bond. Coming from such an extended long period of unusually low rates, we are reminding ourselves along with everyone else, this is very normal phenomenon and will correct itself with time by putting extra dollars in our pockets in the form of higher yields.

Have a Great Day – Talk to you at the end of October!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.

A Dallas Texas based fee only

Financial Planning Total Wealth

Management firm.

www.jkfinancialinc.com

street-cents

August 2018 Podcast Video, Financial Planning and Capital Market Update – By John Kvale

Hello and Welcome to our August 2018 Financial Planning and Capital Market Update!

If you are too busy to read, feel free to listen as we describe our post and thoughts in friendly podcast format as well as Video too!

Newbies – we like to articulate our thoughts and review on a Monthly basis our Financial Planning Tips, Capital Markets and current events!

Break In – We finally upgraded our Laptop, which means a new recording system of Audio and Video — five year old laptop technology was long in the tooth – Hope you Enjoy!

August 2018 Video

 

Financial Planning Tip (s) –

The PLUP – Personal Liability Umbrella Policy

In our post here, a shortened version of an article in the coming Newsletter, we review the PLUP or Personal Liability Umbrella Policy- You likely need one!

Cost

In a world of sometimes seemingly ever higher costs, the PLUP is very affordable. Experiences have shown annually, cost of usually between $200 – $500 for $1 Million – $2 Million in coverage.

Insures your base Coverage are correct

Another neat and settling feature of the PLUP is that it mandates that your standard or base coverage are correct.

What you are protecting Coverage

The most obvious assets at risk are after tax dollars such as checking, savings and investments including Revocable Trusts.

Estate Planning Part 1 – Wills and the Basics

In a reappearance due to constant usage, we also brought back our Estate Planning Series here, Part 1.

  • Will
  • Power of Attorney
  • Healthcare Power of Attorney
  • HIPPA – Release of health information
  • DNR- Cease and Decease – Do not Resuscitate

Estate Planning Part 2 – Trusts

In Part 2, a second repeat article, here, we discuss Trusts of all sorts and their usage.

  • Revocable Trust
  • Testamentary Trust
  • Irrevocable Trust
  • QTIP- Qualified Terminal Interest Trust
  • Credit Shelter A/B Trust
  • Generation Skipping Trust
  • Irrevocable Life Insurance Trust

Capital Market Comments

Small Business Optimism Hits All Time High –

With earnings booming it is not surprising to see Small Business Optimism reaching all time highs — It is always nice to recall that while there are fast moving machines, making trades in nanoseconds and huge amount of data is being deciphered electronically to get and edge – BUT and it is a big BUT – There is ultimately a human behind the machine!

She/he is pretty happy!

8-15-18 Gallup Small Business Optimism

Have a Great Day – Talk to you at the end of September!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.

A Dallas Texas based fee only

Financial Planning Total Wealth

Management firm.

www.jkfinancialinc.com

street-cents

 

July 2018 Podcast Video, Financial Planning and Capital Market Update – By John Kvale

Hello and Welcome to our July 2018 Financial Planning and Capital Market Update!

If you are too busy to read, feel free to listen as we describe our post and thoughts in friendly podcast format.

July 2018 Video

 

Financial Planning Tip (s) –

Social Security – Taking Early

The general rules of Social Security are to wait until as long as you can. In our post here, and the chart below, may give pause to that thinking.

Many situations are different, deeming great thought and analysis needed before commencing OR delaying your Social Security Benefits.

2018 Social Security Crossover

Favorite Pension Benefit Option

Joint Survivor – As mentioned above in our Social Security review, situations vary. While our favorite options for Pensions is the 100% joint survivor –

  • Less Changes in the future
  • Straight forward
  • Simple

As mentioned in greater detail, in our post here, consider all options before making your final decision as this one is irrevocable !

Capital Market Comments

Turns Out, Over the Long Term Earnings do Drive Markets

With earnings booming and Capital Markets treading water, this chart caught our eye and in this post we discussed in greater detail current earnings AND the fact that over the longer term (see chart below) markets do EVENTUALLY react to earnings.

7-13-18 EPS Growth and Mkt Growth 10 year avg

Have a Great Day – Talk to you at the end of August!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
www.jkfinancialinc.com
www.street-cents.com

June 2018 Podcast Video, Financial Planning and Capital Market Update – By John Kvale

Hello and Welcome to our June 2018 Financial Planning and Capital Market Update!

If you are too busy to read, feel free to listen as we describe our post and thoughts in friendly podcast format.

June 2018 Video

BREAK IN : Summer Project Update – Finding Your Lost Money

Wow, we have had fun with this — our biggest find so far is a little over $5k AND COUNTING – keep your eyes on your email for a summer present if we are fortunate enough to find lost funds in your name – also send us your relatives who may have fallen out of connection with … well their hard earned money!

Pot of gold luck-152048_1280

Financial Planning Tip (s) –

To Itemize we must CLUMP

In our clumping post here, we discuss the need to clump – look no farther than the following hand written graph for the reasons- Standard deductions and limited itemizations make it hard to do every year!

Clumping Taxes

 

Handy Travel App

This is one of the few apps that has paid for itself many times over in less than a year. Not to mention the convenience or quick, email forwarding logging of the trip. That is just the tip of the iceberg as mentioned in our article here.

Tripit

 

Updated Tax Rates Compared to 2017 – Personal

This nice chart from the Tax Foundation shows pretty much across the board – see more details here and our coming Newsletter

TAX Comparison 18 to 17 FINAL-TCJA-Filers-Chart

Expect much more on this throughout the coming months as we dig DEEP into the actual rates and the planning techniques necessary to optimize our tax liability …. One Important five letter word…. CLUMP – more later on this in our Newsletter

Capital Market Comments

Stunning 50% Drop in Public Companies

Over the past several decades, there has been a greater than 50% – yes, 50% drop in publicly traded companies in the USA – same demand, less supply may make for higher prices moving forward- or at least the sustainability of higher than historical prices- read more here and our Newsletter!

2017 Declining Stocks US and World Comparison

 

Have a Great Day – Talk to you at the end of July!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
www.jkfinancialinc.com
www.street-cents.com

May 2018 Podcast Video, Financial Planning and Capital Market Update – By John Kvale

Hello and Welcome to our May 2018 Financial Planning and Capital Market Update!

If you are too busy to read, feel free to listen as we describe our post and thoughts in friendly podcast format.

May 2018 Video

Financial Planning Tip (s) –

Social Security Website and Items to check while you are perusing

In our Social Security related post here, we discuss the tons of new options for use as well as the fantastic updates the Social Security Administration has done with their website.

img_1043-1

The most important item to check if you are not already drawing Social Security is your credits… which can be done on this site… recall there is a possible time sunset of loosing your benefits if you do not have the Social Security Office notified, leading to a possible lower benefit.

New Tax Table and Rates – Personal

Here are the new tax tables… if they look complicated, well it is because they ARE !

Marginal-Tax-Rates-Chart-for-2018-1

Expect much more on this throughout the coming months as we dig DEEP into the actual rates and the planning techniques necessary to optimize our tax liability …. One Important five letter word…. CLUMP – more later on this!

Capital Market Comments

Interest Rate Yield Curve – Rates – Inverted Yield Curve

Bottom line, at its most basic level the yield curve should go upward and outward just as our home made chart below (the starting point for our discussion.)

20180424_122733630_iOS

When it does completely the opposite or inverts, as seen below… a recession is just around the corner for as long as the eye can see!

2s 10s Spread W Recession sfredgraph

Expect a complete detailed video over the summer on this phenomenon … along with another review in the coming Newsletter… It can be boring info, not to worry … we will liven it up!

Have a Great Day – Talk to you at the end of June!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
www.jkfinancialinc.com
www.street-cents.com