Category Archives: Social Security

Overzealous Spam Filter on New System … HUGE Social Security COLA … 5.9% to Be Exact, Wow…. COLA Pension Recipients Check Your Benchmark… Birthday Week – Jen and Donald Same Day Yesterday, Happy Birthday Guys … Friday Before Busy Virtual Conference Week

Our summer project this year was to replace our server, update our office Wifi with greater speed and security as well as move our email system to a new more secure platform…

All this wonderful security and speed has led to an occasional overzealous spam filter…. we are validating all emails as safe, but the super sonic spam filter still grabs them every once in a while… please re-email us is you do not hear from us in short order… apologies for the accidental Ghosting, we thought we had this all fixed, but two instances in the last two weeks led to this announcement….

Big COLA Increases

Back in late July of this year, we warned here of possible GREAT news for Social Security and COLA Pension Recipients….

On Wednesday (10-13-21) the BLS (Bureau Of Labor Statistics) released the final month of the third quarter CPI-W which gave the average for the third quarter and is used to calculate the COLA (cost of living adjustment) for next year’s (2022) Social Security Benefits….

From this Release :


Fact Sheet SOCIAL SECURITY
Social Security National Press Office Baltimore, MD
2022 SOCIAL SECURITY CHANGES
Cost-of-Living Adjustment (COLA):
Based on the increase in the Consumer Price Index (CPI-W) from the third quarter of 2020 through the third quarter of 2021, Social Security and Supplemental Security Income (SSI) beneficiaries will receive a 5.9 percent COLA for 2022.

Pension recipients, check that benchmark … you may have a nice surprise awaiting next year … YAY!

Birthday Week THE SAME EXACT DAY

Always try to do something unique for the office Birthday’s … but some how we ended up with two on the exact same day…. Wow… tough creativity all at once…

Happy Birthday Jen and DC the Brain… You guys are great!

Friday Before Full Week of Seminars and Welcome Learning

Today is a Friday and next week we have a full week of Virtual Seminars and Fantastic learning… Looking forward to it for sure… Will bring you any important details in short order…

Have a Great Weekend, Enjoy your Friday and Weekend!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.

A Dallas Texas based fee only

Financial Planning Total Wealth

Management firm.

jkfinancialinc

street-cents

Q4 2021 J.K. Financial, Inc. Newsletter … Video Audio Podcast Review ! By John Kvale CFA, CFP

Welcome to our Video and Audio Podcast Review of our Q4 2021 Newsletter. For those on the road or just unable to grab the time to read, our podcast type review gives you the behind the scenes insight to our thoughts, observations and deep views of the entire Newsletter.

Click the Download button below, for a direct link to an electronic version (an early peek-good ole fashion paper versions are on their way to you shortly) and here for our Newsletter page

BREAK IN – We hope you see videos in the email notification, but if not, you may click on the code for the actual video…hence the dual videos, hoping one works on your cell!

Let’s get going! We hope you enjoy!

Q 4 2021 Newsletter

(YouTube)

Irrational Expectations

An article that just kept giving us more great information:

Kyle Bass Most Important Predictions

  • Oil hits $100 per barrel this year … due to mal investment over the last 7 years.
  • The Federal Reserve will continue to support the markets with continued purchases.
  • We push through the Delta Variant and there is a REAL re-opening effect that works its way through the economy

We hope you enjoy … talk to you at the beginning of the year !

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
www.jkfinancialinc.com
www.street-cents.com

July (YIKES GOING FAST) 2021 Financial Planning and Capital Market Review – By John Kvale

Hello and Welcome to our July 2021 Financial Planning and Capital Market Update!

If you are too busy to read, feel free to listen as we describe our post and thoughts in friendly podcast audio format as well as Video!

Newbies –

We like to articulate our thoughts and review on a Monthly basis our Financial Planning Tips, Capital Markets and current events!

Hope you enjoy!

July 2021 Video

YouTube

Financial Planning Tip(s)

IRS Refunds and Tax Return Processing Very Delayed

In this Break In Post, after having discussions with several of you, and then touching our CPA contacts we came to the conclusion that the IRS is delayed in processing returns and more importantly REFUNDS!!!

Before we could get the news to you, this Yahoo Finance Article nicely summarizes that the IRS is behind on a whopping 20% of returns or over 30 million !

With a September 1, 2021 IRS stimulus check lookback (those who did not get the last round of stimulus will be reviewed by the IRS to see if they qualify) the IRS has their hands very full….

All together…. PATIENCE! They will eventually get to us!

Fingers Crossed For a Hot (Large) COLA Increase

Catching wind through our contacts of a possible HOT (read Large!) COLA adjustment this year for Social Security and possibly those lucky ones that have a COLA adjuster on their Pension or other retirement plan we dug in here in this post and outlined the methodology used by the SSA. The line in the sand for adjustment is later in the year but as can be seen by the latest CPI-W running at 6.1%, with a little luck, we may have a very nice adjustment on our hands!

Capital Market Comments

Valuations are Getting Better but Expectations are WAY out of Line!

In this post and with the help of our Friends at JPMorgan we happily reviewed the far right hand smartly turning graph, that is headed in the correct direction for better valuations… YAY

A bit later in the month we ran across a wonderful but somewhat worrisome poll done by Natixis of over 8000 investors and their expected return over the next 10 years…. Way off base in our minds….

Likely to see this last poll make its way into the Newsletter as these numbers are likely so exaggerated, we want more air time!

Ok…that’s a wrap for the July review….

Have a Great Day, Talk to You at the End of August!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.

A Dallas Texas based fee only

Financial Planning Total Wealth

Management firm.

jkfinancialinc

street-cents

Social Secuirty COLA – Cost of Living Adjustment – Look Out Above – 5-6% COLA ?? Maybe … WOW … Pension Recipients You May Receive a Similar Increase …

With a few of our industry rags shouting look out above for the Social Security COLA (Cost of Living Adjustment) we took a deep dive into the SSA (Social Security Administration) methodology for the adjustment.

Pension Recipients with COLA adjustments you likely will be in the same boat of increases, depending on the index the COLA adjustment is marked against….ok digressing a bit, but wanted to get that thought out !

Social Security COLA Methodology

Basically the SSSA looks at the CPI – W in the third quarter of the year and compares it to the prior year and marks the new COLA Accordingly….

The fuss or cheer, is due to the dramatic increase in the CPI – W …that most recent print is 6.1% WOW!

The CPI – W

“The Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W) is based on the expenditures of households included in the CPI-U definition that meet two requirements: more than one-half of the household’s income must come from clerical or wage occupations, and at least one of the household’s earners must have been employed for at least 37 weeks during the previous 12 months. The CPI-W population represents about 29 percent of the total U.S. population and is a subset of the CPI-U population!”

From the latest BLS (Bureau of Labor Statistics) Here

SSA Methodology

Here is the SSA Methodology from their calculation pamphlet last year here https://www.ssa.gov/pubs/EN-05-10526.pdf

To determine the COLA, the average CPI-W for the third calendar quarter of the most recent year a COLA was determined is compared to the average CPI-W for the third calendar quarter of the current year. The resulting percentage increase, if any, represents the percentage that will be used to increase Social Security benefits beginning for December of the current year. SSI benefits increase by the same percentage the following month (January). If the increase in the CPI-W is at least one-tenth of one percent (0.1 percent), there will be a COLA. However, if the CPI-W increases by less than 0.05 percent, or if the CPI-W decreases, there won’t be a COLA.

Have a Great “COLA Adjustment Heads Up” Day!


John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.

A Dallas Texas based fee only

Financial Planning Total Wealth

Management firm.

jkfinancialinc

street-cents

Another Week, Another Private Space Launch…. Our Vote For Best Space Craft Style … Social Security COLA Preview … Friday

Just a week or so ago, we noted here when Richard Branson hit the skies making history with a personal space craft and safely returned to Earth….

Thankfully another launch went without a hitch earlier this week…. again, these things do not always go well and when they go bad, they really go bad big!

With two successful private flights and one more coming soon… we feel ok being a little critical or some may say tacky…

Which Craft Do You Think is Cooler

Link Below each picture is to YouTube full launch of each, Blue Origin (Bezos) and Unity 22 (Branson)

We favor the Second…. should be interesting to compare Elon Musk’s …. which we will do post launch…

Social Security COLA Preview – Coming In Hot

With the drop and rebound of the Economy, much of the Inflation numbers that the Social Security uses to do Cost of Living Adjustments or COLA are also running hot… possibly hotter than we have seen in some time…

More on this next week in greater detail, even some details we have recently discovered…

Ahhhh….but that is next week, today is a Friday… have a good Day and Weekend- Talk Next Week!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.

A Dallas Texas based fee only

Financial Planning Total Wealth

Management firm.

jkfinancialinc

street-cents

Q3 2021 J.K. Financial, Inc. Newsletter … Video Audio Podcast Review ! By John Kvale – New Post Format

Welcome to our Video and Audio Podcast Review of our Q3 2021 Newsletter. For those on the road or just unable to grab the time to read, our podcast type review gives you the behind the scenes insight to our thoughts, observations and deep views of the entire Newsletter.

Click the Download button below, for a direct link to an electronic version (an early peek-good ole fashion paper versions are on their way to you shortly) and here for our Newsletter page

BREAK IN – Below is a new format for our Newsletter, hoping this pulls through on your Cell Email!

Let’s get going! We hope you enjoy!

Q 3 2021 Newsletter

(YouTube)

We hope you enjoy … talk to you in the Fall !

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
www.jkfinancialinc.com
www.street-cents.com

Q2 2021 J.K. Financial, Inc. Newsletter … Video Audio Podcast Review – Reminders ! By John Kvale

Welcome to our Video and Audio Podcast Review of our Q2 2021 Newsletter. For those on the road or just unable to grab the time to read, our podcast type review gives you the behind the scenes insight to our thoughts, observations and deep views of the entire Newsletter.

Click the Download button below, for a direct link to an electronic version (an early peek-good ole fashion paper versions are on their way to you shortly) and here for our Newsletter page

Let’s get going! We hope you enjoy!

Q 2 2021 Newsletter

(YouTube)

Social Security Earnings Record Check Reminder

In our lead article of the Q 2 2021 Newsletter, we remind all of the importance of checking your Social Security Record, no matter your thoughts on the longevity of Social Security….

Additionally we walk you through step by step on how to do this and also how to set up your SSA on line account!

Secure Act – Possibly Forgotten But Important Changes

With the passing of the SECURE act, the old age of 70.5 mandatory RMD (Required Minimum Distribution) was pushed to age 72.

Many times, it is not appropriate to wait until this age, depending on the location of some assets. EX Large IRA compared to other non iRA investment, Tax Brackets, One Off income Years

For those where it is appropriate to wait until the latest possible date, you can actually wait until the year AFTER you turn 72 as long at you take the distribution before April 1 of the year AFTER turning 72.

Warning, in almost all cases we discourage this last maximum delayed technique as it ends up forcing two RMD’s in the same tax year of your 73 birthday.

Buffet Valuation Indicator

Warren Buffett, the usually closed lip investor, years ago mentioned his macro Valuation indicator which is shown below.

It has never flashed “Over Valuation” as much as it is now!

Expecting tremendous Earnings Growth to help turn this indicator around and head the other direction!

We hope you enjoy … talk to you in the Summer!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
www.jkfinancialinc.com
www.street-cents.com

March 2021 Financial Planning and Capital Market Review – By John Kvale

Hello and Welcome to our March 2021 Financial Planning and Capital Market Update!

If you are too busy to read, feel free to listen as we describe our post and thoughts in friendly podcast audio format as well as Video!

Newbies –

We like to articulate our thoughts and review on a Monthly basis our Financial Planning Tips, Capital Markets and current events!

Hope you enjoy!

March 2021 Video

YouTube

Financial Planning Tips

Two Handy Reminder Posts – Credit Report and Social Security Earnings Credits

We had not one but two really good reminder posts over the last four weeks, on which is featured in the Newsletter in great detail and one that is a handy annual reminder – hat tip DK!

Here in this post we highlight why and how you can check your credit report. This is a really good thing to do at least annually to see if there are any barnacles attached to your credit, thereby lowering it and possibly causing other costs in your life to increase i.e. as mentioned in the insurance.

Here in this second post and again also featured in the Newsletter, why you should check to make sure you are getting credit for those hard earned tax dollars being sent to the Social Security Administration AND very importantly a reminder to look for missing credits in your history!

Stimulus Check Update

In this post, we detailed the planning techniques associated with the third round of $1400 stimulus checks and what to watch out for as well as the new cliff thresholds of phase outs… further detailed with the following chart:

March 2020 Review, Annual Reminders Credit Report and Social Security Eearn

Capital Market Comments

Maximum Macro Economics Coming Soon

Not every trying to be a trend setter or first into the pool – we accidentally beat most of the regular commentators here in this post to the fact that there are likely some VERY HOT ECONOMIC numbers coming our way.

These will occur due to easy comparisons associated with the drop in Economic activity about a year ago as well as continued lift off as we open up for business once again.

There will be interesting dialogue in the Headlines – Be for warned much of this may be skewed by the afore mentioned!

Have a Great Day, Talk to You at the End of April!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.

A Dallas Texas based fee only

Financial Planning Total Wealth

Management firm.

jkfinancialinc

street-cents

Why You Should Check Your Social Security Earnings Credits No Matter Your Age

While many may argue contrary to our fantastic Social Security speaker whom we have had twice now Mr. Tom Clark who assures us that Social Security will always be there, many do not believe this for various reasons. 

No matter your beliefs or age we highly encourage you to check your Social Security Statement and most importantly your Social Security Earnings Record.  

Earnings Benefit Credit Statement

Do not be concerned if just as this example, does not show your 2020 earnings posted as of yet there have been some delays and normally this is not posted at an early time in the year anyway . 

What we want to be concerned about is if there are gaps in our earnings history or a partial credit (change of employers) that should have been credited. there are many reasons that this can occur such as just a lost document in the Mail or an employer was bought out or closed and did not report your hard earned earnings period. 

How Do I Find This Statement? 

In 1999, the Social Security Administration mailed a paper copy to everyone every year. Budget cuts a dozen years later stopped this handy paper copy, leaving all of us to easily forget to double check our statement annually. 

For the record according to the Administration folks at age 60 are supposed to receive a paper copy, but our informal poll shows a low hit ratio. 

Not to worry, it is not that hard set up an account, ESPECIALLY if it is your first time. 

Go to www.ssa.gov and either log into your account or create an account and pull down your statement…

Oh, keep your credentials safe … lost mine and was a huge pain getting logged back into the site!

Have a Great “Social Security Earnings History Check Reminder” Day!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.

A Dallas Texas based fee only

Financial Planning Total Wealth

Management firm.

jkfinancialinc

street-cents

Break In: Spring Spotted … Spring Break Next Week … Newsletter Completion … Time Change Weekend YAY! … Friday …

With an unused make up snow day today (not sure how that happened but oh well) – kiddos out today – and next week being Spring Break an attempt personally to take some R & R time next week, I am out today and next week….

Always tethered, this time lightly as Jen and Donald are very capable of covering !

BREAK IN – Spring has sprung… each year the family watches for the early budding Tree in the back yard… Great News, the deep freeze of just a few weeks ago did not do our early budding tree in AND in the last 24 hours the blooms have started…

Who needs the Groundhog… kidding-

Well done Pierce for spotting !

Newsletter Update

While gone, the finishing touches will be put on the Newsletter, AND next week we will do a shortened version of one of the main articles – Why You Should Check Your Social Security Earnings Record Now!

Time Change Weekend – YAY

In addition to a little R and R, next week, we get my favorite time change! YAY

Sure we lose an hour of sleep…

Sure it seems to take a bit longer to adjust as the years go by…

But the Suns stays up LATE in the evenings…

Friday and Next Weeks Posts

If I can stay away from the keyboard – no promises…haha

In addition to the Newsletter Preview Post mentioned above, a re-run of another reminder post will occur as well.. hat tip DK from the field as a neat reminder!

Ahhhh…. but today is a Friday and I am away, but tethered lightly… enjoy your weekend and your Friday!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.

A Dallas Texas based fee only

Financial Planning Total Wealth

Management firm.

jkfinancialinc

street-cents