Welcome to our Video and Audio Podcast Review of our Q3 2021 Newsletter. For those on the road or just unable to grab the time to read, our podcast type review gives you the behind the scenes insight to our thoughts, observations and deep views of the entire Newsletter.
Click the Download button below, for a direct link to an electronic version (an early peek-good ole fashion paper versions are on their way to you shortly) and here for our Newsletter page
BREAK IN – Below is a new format for our Newsletter, hoping this pulls through on your Cell Email!
Welcome to our Video and Audio Podcast Review of our Q2 2021 Newsletter. For those on the road or just unable to grab the time to read, our podcast type review gives you the behind the scenes insight to our thoughts, observations and deep views of the entire Newsletter.
Click the Download button below, for a direct link to an electronic version (an early peek-good ole fashion paper versions are on their way to you shortly) and here for our Newsletter page
In our lead article of the Q 2 2021 Newsletter, we remind all of the importance of checking your Social Security Record, no matter your thoughts on the longevity of Social Security….
Additionally we walk you through step by step on how to do this and also how to set up your SSA on line account!
Secure Act – Possibly Forgotten But Important Changes
With the passing of the SECURE act, the old age of 70.5 mandatory RMD (Required Minimum Distribution) was pushed to age 72.
Many times, it is not appropriate to wait until this age, depending on the location of some assets. EX Large IRA compared to other non iRA investment, Tax Brackets, One Off income Years
For those where it is appropriate to wait until the latest possible date, you can actually wait until the year AFTER you turn 72 as long at you take the distribution before April 1 of the year AFTER turning 72.
Warning, in almost all cases we discourage this last maximum delayed technique as it ends up forcing two RMD’s in the same tax year of your 73 birthday.
Buffet Valuation Indicator
Warren Buffett, the usually closed lip investor, years ago mentioned his macro Valuation indicator which is shown below.
It has never flashed “Over Valuation” as much as it is now!
Expecting tremendous Earnings Growth to help turn this indicator around and head the other direction!
As mentioned earlier … neatly this year we were able all have flex schedules and each of us were on R&R at different times.
While technology allows us complete connection, a little looser tether is always welcome when possible.
Donald the Brian hits the beach for a few next week….
Enjoy – Much Deserved, we have your back!
Newsletter at the Presses in NY
The final touches of the Newsletter have been completed and the NY pressers are in motion. Look for the paper copy in your mailbox soon….
We coined this Newsletter “The Reminder” given much of the content is a timely reminder for to do’s and laws that were passed but likely forgotten given the unique 2020!
We of course will also do a Video explaining in greater detail our thoughts and how we came up with the articles as well as greater insights than the coverage may allowed….
Ahhhh…. but today is a Friday heading into a much welcomed beautiful weekend in our neck of the woods…
Enjoy your Friday and your weekend …. talk next week!
With an unused make up snow day today (not sure how that happened but oh well) – kiddos out today – and next week being Spring Break an attempt personally to take some R & R time next week, I am out today and next week….
Always tethered, this time lightly as Jen and Donald are very capable of covering !
BREAK IN – Spring has sprung… each year the family watches for the early budding Tree in the back yard… Great News, the deep freeze of just a few weeks ago did not do our early budding tree in AND in the last 24 hours the blooms have started…
Who needs the Groundhog… kidding-
Well done Pierce for spotting !
Newsletter Update
While gone, the finishing touches will be put on the Newsletter, AND next week we will do a shortened version of one of the main articles – Why You Should Check Your Social Security Earnings Record Now!
Time Change Weekend – YAY
In addition to a little R and R, next week, we get my favorite time change! YAY
Sure we lose an hour of sleep…
Sure it seems to take a bit longer to adjust as the years go by…
But the Suns stays up LATE in the evenings…
Friday and Next Weeks Posts
If I can stay away from the keyboard – no promises…haha
In addition to the Newsletter Preview Post mentioned above, a re-run of another reminder post will occur as well.. hat tip DK from the field as a neat reminder!
Ahhhh…. but today is a Friday and I am away, but tethered lightly… enjoy your weekend and your Friday!
Welcome to our Video and Audio Podcast Review of our Q1 2021 Newsletter. For those on the road or just unable to grab the time to read, our podcast type review gives you the behind the scenes insight to our thoughts, observations and deep views of the entire Newsletter.
In this start to a new year, we update the pictures on the Video and also the entry and exit music. Our editor actually greatly adjusted the colors and fonts of the Newsletter this year, which we really liked as well.
Click the Download button below, for a direct link to an electronic version (an early peek-good ole fashion paper versions are on their way to you shortly) and here for our Newsletter page
This Newsletter is chocked full of reminders from events and experiences we had with you in the field last year the would be helpful looking forward into 2021!
With a very large number of moves in 2020 …. much greater than we can ever recall, in this Article we remind of the Homestead.
In the year 2020 we have had more change of residences than we can ever recall over the past three decades. As a reminder, and using Texas as a template, if you live in your home on January 1 you can do what is called a homestead tax exemption. Once again through the lens of Texas, this is a particularly good tax savings exemption that everyone should do if you live in Texas.
Q 1 2021 J.K. Financial, Inc. Newsletter Lead Financial Planning Article
And just a bit more description from the same Article …
From TexasLawhelp.org – a fantastic non-profit resource we use frequently – again only for Texas residences, those living in other states may want to check for a similar organization.
What property qualifies as a “homestead?”
A “homestead” is a house or other residential structure that you own, together with up to 20 acres where the structure sits if the land is used for residential purposes. A manufactured home on a rented lot qualifies as long as you own the home. Manufactured homes must meet additional requirements for a “Statement of Ownership and Location,” but if you did not receive the paperwork from the prior owner and cannot locate the seller after making a good faith effort, you can submit the affidavit in Form 114-A.
Estate Planning Tops Our Minds
It was literally a race for the greatest increase over normal years, for folks moving to a new residence (per above) or reviewing and updating their Estate Plans.
Has Anything Changed Since My Documents Were Written?
Just because five, seven or even ten years have transpired does not mean that you automatically need to update your documents. If everything looks right, and things have not changed then those documents are likely just fine.
On the other side of the equation if things have changed in the past twelve months (or even less) that would make your documents incorrect, you likely need to do an update so your directives are appropriate.
Q 1 2021 J.K. Financial, Inc. Newsletter Second Lead Financial Planning Article
If we are not in possession of a copy, please send to us or upload to your Vault as we keep things safe and most importantly FOREVER!
Q 4 2020 ES Reminder – The Safe Harbor
Mid-month, January 15, 2022 to be exact is the final due date for Quarterly Tax Payments ( Q 4 2020 ES Tax Payments.) With a pushed out ordinary filing date due, it seems like to many we just filed last year’s taxes (2019), and here we are already rushed to complete 2020. Hence the reminder.
Lastly, if you are in a situation where you tax bill may be dramatically different from the prior year, in this case 2019, consider trueing up your 2020 taxes to at least 110% of year 2019 total Federal tax withholding. To help avert any penalties or interest.
Retirement Contribution Levels and Medicare IRMA Amounts
While we have posted these levels earlier here, and we know the formatting was a bit wonky, we wanted to review them again directly from the Newsletter.
Here are last years most common levels along with whats up for 2021 – mostly unchanged
IRMA – Income Related Monthly Adjustment Amount – Medicare Part B Surcharge
“ If your modified adjusted gross income is above a certain amount, you may pay an Income Related Monthly Adjustment Amount (IRMAA). Medicare uses the modified adjusted gross income reported on your IRS tax return from 2 years ago. This is the most recent tax return information provided to Social Security by the IRS. “
Here are the 2021 limits and adjustments:
We hope you enjoy … talk to you Next Quarter – Happy 2021 !!!
Over the next two weeks, with staggered schedules, our office, which our building manager is still continuing to ask us not to have guests, will be open sporadically. We will collectively be working remotely or out of the office on various family holiday getaways.
Donald “The Brain” is happily in a warmer climate near water, loosely connected to the office for some much needed and much earned R&R this week after a full spring, summer, and fall, of lock downs.
My time actually occurs next week after Christmas and through New Year’s.
Jen will be in and out remotely connected with a few official bookend days for holidays and long weekends throughout the next two weeks.
One big positive of the events of this year is the ease of pivot to remote for all of us!
A Gentleman‘s Agreement on Wall Street!
While in recent years we’ve seen this agreement violated, look no further than some of the sharp drop offs during this time just a year ago, generally there is an unwritten gentleman‘s agreement to “do no harm” during this time of the year. Meaning capital markets usually do not trade upward or downward in dramatic fashion throughout the remainder of the year.
Under normal circumstances the next two weeks, partial trading weeks …with closures on each Friday and half a day before the holiday trading would be BORING and very low volume….trying not to jinx ourselves here!
Newsletter Update
With a newsletter chocked full of great Financial Planning, Income Tax, and Personal reminders, and being non-market related, the Newsletter is complete and we hope to have it to you during the holidays for some possible fun reading that you may have during down time.
We think it came out fantastic, and tribute the great bulk of subject matter to you guys for the experiences, reminders, and techniques that we did this year.
Our posts here at Street-Cents will likely not be as regular and much lighter over the next two weeks as well!
Remember, as mentioned here in this urgent reminder post, Financial Institutions in every area of service are greatly overloaded for some reason this year, and as such MONEY IS MOVING SLOW…. do not wait until the last minute for a Financial Transaction, especially if it is personal!
Happy Holidays, Be Well, Be Safe, and Happy New Years!
Outside of the normal weekly excitement we’re happy to announce that a much more appreciated laptop has a new keyboard and is working like a champ. It’s only 18 months old we hope that this is not a lemon … but have a whole new appreciation for just how many times you have to capitalize, and how hard it is to get to the symbols without a caps.
Braces On
Yesterday Pierce, the one with the best teeth in the family … but not the straightest, is happy to find he has braces on his upper row. Somehow it seems to be something to be proud of as likely many friends also are in the same situation. Will be interesting to see how proud lasts as the pain sets in … discovered from my own perch two decades ago.
Newsletter Begins
A laptop with a working shift key? Lookout Newsletter, it’s on!
For those long time followers you know much of the Newsletter (and other communications) is dictated but for some reason creativity stalls when at the compound at 8222 Douglas.
Very excited to review a lot of the things that have occurred over the year-likely WAY too much to get in just this Newsletter, always better to have too much than not enough, but think you will enjoy.
Have a Happy “Keyboard Fixed Braces On Newsletter is a Go” Friday!
Enjoy Your Day … Enjoy Your Weekend and Will talk to you Next Week!
Welcome to our Video and Audio Podcast Review of our Q 4 2020 Newsletter. For those on the road or just unable to grab the time to read, our podcast type review gives you the behind the scenes insight to our thoughts, observations and deep views of the entire Newsletter.
Click here for a direct link to an electronic version (an early peek-good ole fashion paper versions are on their way to you shortly) and here for our Newsletter page
Unlike the last two Newsletters which had very little economic and market related comments, this one is all about where we have been, what has occurred and where we may be going!
As the spread of the Covid Virus occurred, Capital Market Participants in true anticipation form, voted with their feet and sold assets across the board well ahead of the eventual lock downs.
The largely followed S&P 500 (Larger US Companies) fell over 33% along with major international markets such as the German Dax falling over 35% and US Small companies represented by the Russell 2000, falling over 40%.
The most startling item of the drop was the speed at which this drop occurred, 27 days!
Ignoring the speed of these most recent declines is a bad idea as we need only look earlier in 2018 to see ANOTHER very fast drop.
The FOMC Steps In – Lowers Rates
By Mid-March as Capital Markets continued their descent, the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) led by Jerome Powell, dropped the hammer on interest rates by a full 1% to zero. During normal times, .25% is the usual adjustment as can be seen by the late 2019 and early 2020, non-crisis adjustments.
FOMC Adds More Fuel
Correctly using the financial crisis of 07-09 as the play book, the FOMC took the bazooka out, and starting buying assets to flood the markets with liquidity. The current bazooka is much bigger (about 3 X) this time as can be seen by the difference in balance sheet increase of $1 Trillion in 07-09 versus the $ 3 Trillion and counting increase currently.
It Worked (Maybe Too Well), Capital Markets Took Notice
You know us to be very positive – all through the many negatives that have occurred !
You also know we will call it like we see it!
Markets have officially gone too far and are ahead of themselves, expect bumps and no extra risk taking is warranted at this time – CAREFUL!
We hope you enjoy … talk to you Next Year – 2021 !!!
Wow, did the Newsletter come out great – well at least we think so. Jen mailed them out today, so hopefully some good reading for you maybe over the weekend if you are so inclined…..
By the way, if you know someone that may find our newsletter interesting and useful, send us their address, we will add them to our mailing list — yaya, the novelty of a paper Newsletter, call us old fashion, but we are so old fashion we are new– at least we think so – haha – ok digressing again!
Those that received the September review mid week may have noticed the video was not embedded in the email for some reason … inquiry minds want to know and are trying to figure it out… hence the delayed Newsletter review…
Tennis Weekend
Good news … the tournaments are starting up in full force and with a little luck, social distancing and strict following of the rules maybe we can continue – 15 year old is getting closer to 16 and closer to graduation – sophomore…. time goes fast…
Ahhhh, but today is a Friday heading into a wonderful temperature weekend in our neck of the woods….
Enjoy, be safe and we will get that Newsletter Podcast video Review out to you next week, one way or another !
Reminder … especially pertinent given all the changes in due dates !
ES Q 3 Quarterly Tax Estimated Payments Due
Next Tuesday, September 15, 2020 is the Due Date of Quarterly ES Payments … here is a direct link to the IRS pamphlet where you can find the coupon, instructions and of course where to mail the payment!
Newsletter Preview
With fingers crossed that current events don’t destroy the third Newsletter in a row, we are trepidly wading into a review of the events so far this year, our thoughts … and some really neat charts that we think you will like…
Here is a sample of a couple of our favorites so far:
This second chart is amazing to us …just how much horsepower is being thrown at the Global Markets!
Friday
Ahhhh… today is a Friday, heading into a big pro sports filled weekend ….
Enjoy, be safe and have a Great Friday and Weekend!
The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. To determine which investments may be appropriate for you, please consult your financial advisor prior to investing!
Background
The is the vocal portion of J.K. Financial, Inc. a Dallas Texas Based Fee Only Total Wealth Financial Planning Firm. Founded by John Kvale, a Dallas Texas Fee only Financial Planner and Total Wealth Manager.
Q 4 2020 Newsletter Video Audio Podcast Review of Year Events, Cause and Effects By John Kvale
Welcome to our Video and Audio Podcast Review of our Q 4 2020 Newsletter. For those on the road or just unable to grab the time to read, our podcast type review gives you the behind the scenes insight to our thoughts, observations and deep views of the entire Newsletter.
Click here for a direct link to an electronic version (an early peek-good ole fashion paper versions are on their way to you shortly) and here for our Newsletter page
Let’s get going!
Thanks in advance!
Q 4 2020 Newsletter
(YouTube)
As the spread of the Covid Virus occurred, Capital Market Participants in true anticipation form, voted with their feet and sold assets across the board well ahead of the eventual lock downs.
The largely followed S&P 500 (Larger US Companies) fell over 33% along with major international markets such as the German Dax falling over 35% and US Small companies represented by the Russell 2000, falling over 40%.
The most startling item of the drop was the speed at which this drop occurred, 27 days!
Ignoring the speed of these most recent declines is a bad idea as we need only look earlier in 2018 to see ANOTHER very fast drop.
The FOMC Steps In – Lowers Rates
By Mid-March as Capital Markets continued their descent, the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) led by Jerome Powell, dropped the hammer on interest rates by a full 1% to zero. During normal times, .25% is the usual adjustment as can be seen by the late 2019 and early 2020, non-crisis adjustments.
FOMC Adds More Fuel
Correctly using the financial crisis of 07-09 as the play book, the FOMC took the bazooka out, and starting buying assets to flood the markets with liquidity. The current bazooka is much bigger (about 3 X) this time as can be seen by the difference in balance sheet increase of $1 Trillion in 07-09 versus the $ 3 Trillion and counting increase currently.
It Worked (Maybe Too Well), Capital Markets Took Notice
You know us to be very positive – all through the many negatives that have occurred !
You also know we will call it like we see it!
Markets have officially gone too far and are ahead of themselves, expect bumps and no extra risk taking is warranted at this time – CAREFUL!
We hope you enjoy … talk to you Next Year – 2021 !!!
John A. Kvale CFA, CFP
Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
www.jkfinancialinc.com
www.street-cents.com
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Posted in Audio, Economy, FOMC, General Financial Planning, Interest Rates, Investing/Financial Planning, Market Comments, Newsletters, Podcast, Video
Tagged FOMC, Forward PE, Inflation, Interest Rates, JPMorgan, QE, Trimmed Mean, Valuation