Category Archives: Earnings

Capital Markets Ignore … Short Week Concludes … Friday Tennis Weekend

Capital Markets are the ultimate voting machine. Frequently they are VERY irrational, often times they act temperamental, other times they just ignore and move on.

With the recent flexing of various international military muscles and “Breaking News” headlines, Capital Markets …. and their participants, are just moving on down the road and focusing on earnings … which is really what they are supposed to do. NICE!

Short Week

With the celebration of July 4th on Tuesday, Wednesday felt like Monday, making Thursday feel like Tuesday and today …. Oh Boy … Not really sure what day it is. Friday? Yes..

Friday Tennis Weekendtennis-2042723__340

Wimbledon …. Yes it will be going on this weekend, but a more important Tennis weekend to your present party … a National Tournament in a neighboring state (Travels , all good) .. Win our go home, once again, puts the journey into next week if the former occurs…

Ahhh, that is looking into next week and this is a Friday, smack in the middle of Summer. It goes fast, enjoy, relax and spend time with those special!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
www.jkfinancialinc.com
www.street-cents.com

 

 

 

 

The Importance of Energy Companies to the US Economy

Not so many quarters ago with oil booming and the price of oil going to $144/barrel many including ourselves may have missed the importance of Energy Companies on the US as well as global economy.

Here  we reiterated that we thought the trickle down effect may be much greater than many had once thought.

Another Great View from Visual Capitalist

Take a moment to let this chart digest…it truly is amazing.

If you have been following us long you know we love to mix different opinions especially when they point the same direction- this from Factset..

Without Energy, the S&P 500 earnings would be much less.

Before complaining about that fill up… remember these two items.

Have a Great “Energy Growth” day!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
www.jkfinancialinc.com
www.street-cents.com

 

Earnings, the key to Capital Market Growth … Let’s get an update?

The ultimate driver of Capital Markets are Earnings. Yes, we can argue about interest rates, currencies, world political and economic cycles, but all of these events are only important in how they change earnings or the growth there of “Earnings”.

Let’s take a look at early statistics from 2017!

Earnings Via our Friends at Factset

This from Factset, one of our favorite data aggregators in their regular weekly report.

  • Earnings Growth: For Q1 2017, the blended earnings growth rate for the S&P 500 is 13.6%. If 13.6% is the actual growth rate for the quarter, it will mark the highest (year-over-year) earnings growth for the index since Q3 2011 (16.7%).

Looking closely at the following chart, which is TRAILING earnings, forward looking capital market expectations can be seen. The trailing earnings are actually falling over the last few years, but the forward expectations as noted from the first bullet above are expected to climb more rapidly than the past six years.

5-12-17 Factset EPS change and Price

 

So just where are these revenues that are creating accelerating growth coming from?

5-12-17 Factset Geographic Rev chart

P/E or the Price to Earnings is the most blunt way to measure the valuation of capital markets. A high P/E might mean markets are overvalued and need to grow into their valuations, or a reversion to the mean reset to a lower level may be in the cards.

5-12-17 Factset 12 PE ratio V long term

From Factset’s estimates above, the current market P/E is about 22 with a normal of 16-17, undoubtedly higher than normal but certainly no guarantee of an imminent reversion down to lower levels.

If the growth estimates mentioned in the very first bullet come through in 2017, much of this froth may be taken out of the capital markets.

Either way, we have your back via our good friend diversification!

There you have it, a nice ‘Earnings Update” … We will be watching closely!

Have a great “Earnings Update” Day!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
www.jkfinancialinc.com
www.street-cents.com

Capital Markets and the Presidential Election Results

Capital Markets when caught by surprise frequently drop. Look no further than Brexit (British exit from the EU) for recent proof.

Due to the fact the election results were different from what capital markets had expected we would expect pressure initially.

Markets Driven By  One Thing

The ultimate driver of capital markets are EARNINGS. Yes there are headwinds (rates) and tail winds (macro economic growth) that detract or add to this, but in the end, it’s earnings. There will also be certain sectors that may have different appeal due to the election results, but in the end, the ultimate importance are earnings.

After the dust settles, earnings will regain focus.

Another reason Diversified Portfolios are our Mantra!

Have a Great Day!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
www.jkfinancialinc.com
www.street-cents.com

 

 

 

 

October 2016 Video, Financial Planning Tips and Economic Review- By John Kvale

Here is our October 2016, Financial Planning Tip (S) and Monthly Economic Review, along with a Video for your viewing and listening pleasure. Hope you enjoy!

October 2016 Video

 

Financial Planning Tip(s) –

Charitable Giving from An IRA

Yes we CAN finally donate funds from an IRA, as our post reminds, as long as we meet the following requirements:

  1. Already be age 70 ½ on the date of distribution
  2. Submit a distribution form to the IRA custodian, requesting that the check be made payable directly to the charity
  3. Ensure that no tax withholding is being done
  4. Send the check directly to the charity, or to the IRA owner to be forwarded along to the charity

Tricks for Getting Health Insurance

Here are a few great ideas we have learned over the years, as mentioned here for getting Health Coverage:

  •  Stay on your significant others coverage as long as possible
  • Be a member of a select group-
  • Create a Group
  • Six month Cobra Extension
  • Employer Qualified Long Term Benefits
  • Military Members 

Cool College Review Information

Our somewhat humorous, but handy review of Princeton College Ranking Review.  Some good and others, well maybe you would rather not be a part.

Economic Update

Banks are Lending

 

10-12-16-excess-reserves-grannis-fed-reserve

On the far right…. look at that money dripping out of the banks and into the US Economy….

Speaking of Economy, how about this NICE GDP (Gross Domestic Production) release- Far right graph bar rising… THAT’s GOOD!

10-31-16-econoday-gdp-release

 

Have a Great Day!

See you next month !

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
www.jkfinancialinc.com
www.street-cents.com
JK Street Cents Logo

 

Boring but beautiful … Olympics … Hot Hot Hot … Tennis weekend…

There is an old Wall Street saying… goes something like this…

“Never short (bet against) a sleepy, boring Market!”

The most recent week was record breaking in lowest volume, boring and non-interest… all the while, domestically and across the globe…. markets grinned in beauty as they climbed higher… NICE!

Things getting better? Markets sure think so!

Olympics

Are you guys as interested as we are? What can you say… Phelps is incredible … more gold’s than he can carry… Looking forward to more events !!

Temperatures

Hot Hot Hot…. Those of you reminding me that as winter ended we stated we would not gripe about the soon coming warmth….So we are not complaining.. just saying, as we wipe our brow…

Speaking of hot…. a slightly western state tennis tournament for my 11 year old this weekend looks to be interesting….

Ahhh…but today is a Friday… Enjoy the last few summer Fridays as they are coming to an end soon ! All Good !

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
www.jkfinancialinc.com
www.street-cents.com

Light Friday … Thanks for Linking Accounts Vaulters ! Olympics

After a Monthly Video and a rather large mid-week Vault Sizzling post, we decided to be easy on your eyes ahead of the weekend.

Speaking of Sizzling Vaults… PAT YOURSELVES ON THE BACK.. Great work to all of those who linked accounts to their Vault.. WELL DONE !

We promised an earnings review last week that we will deliver next week. The delay has given us more ammunition toward our possible beliefs…. Good Stuff !!!

But that is next week and this is Friday .. Enjoy your weekend and Day !

Good Luck to all of the Olympic participants, looking forward to opening ceremony tonight!

Talk to you next week !

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
www.jkfinancialinc.com
www.street-cents.com