Author Archives: John Kvale CFA, CFP

October — BOOOO- 2018 Podcast Video, Financial Planning and Capital Market Update – By John Kvale

Hello and Welcome to our October 2018 Financial Planning and Capital Market Update!

If you are too busy to read, feel free to listen as we describe our post and thoughts in friendly podcast format as well as Video!

Newbies – We like to articulate our thoughts and review on a Monthly basis our Financial Planning Tips, Capital Markets and current events!

A Special Congrats to the Capones growing family!

Nathan Elliott Capone

Nathan Capone

October – Booo – 2018 Video

Break In – Holiday Party Reminder

10-9-18 - Holiday Party Invitation

 

Financial Planning Tip (s) –

RMD Season

In our explanative post here, we overview the RMD season items …. and remind those in the first year of their chose to defer or take …

  1. RMD $$ mandated amounts are determined by the value of applicable accounts on the last day of the prior year
  2. Current year age is a necessary factor included in calculating the RMD – see below next, first time exception – each year of seasoning (getting older) we are forced to take more out of the applicable accounts – hey the IRS has never taxed us on these in many cases – it’s their time!
  3. After tax contributions to a qualified account MUST be accounted for in order to avoid taxes – here are greater details and our taxpayer obligations on this –  don’t overpay – the IRS is not tracking this and will not come to the rescue and lower your taxes
  4. All of an individual’s accounts must be included/totaled/value (certain exceptions are made to those continuing to work) to ascertain the needed distribution
  5. Any one account can be used to satisfy the needed distribution (you do not have to take a little from each account, making it easier from an organization standpoint) BUT you must take at least the minimum distribution
  6. Failure to take the mandated distribution amount COULD result in a 100% tax – Break in – our experience has been the IRS is nice about this, but let’s not test them

Social Security COLA Bump

Congratulations to those on a fixed income, the Social Security Administration SSA’s favorite inflation gauge measured a 2.8% increase, which we review in our post here and also even created this neat historical graph for our collective review…

2019 Cola SS

 

Capital Market Comments –

Suddenly it’s Raining?

After a drop at the beginning of 2018 – mostly blamed on a creative synthetic product that bets risk will stay low (XIV) our patience was rewarded and footing found … until Ugly October came to roost…

What Gives?

At this time, no one with 100% certainty, can pin point what turned the market sky’s grey and sent rain…

Oddly, it may not be any one thing, just like an auto accident – usually multiple items occur at the same time that lead to an opening for contact with another …

Here are our best thoughts in order of our priority/possibility – again no one knows for sure…

  1. Trendy high flying stocks that have been a momentum favorite, suddenly took it on the chin – alone in time not a big deal – seen next
  2. Most mutual funds and many other assets managers close their books at the end of October – many heavily invested in the above trendy stocks had their year turn very ugly right at the finish line, possibly setting a musical chair like exit, causing much more volatility than what would have otherwise occurred if not so near the end of many fiscal years – an extra worry juggle ball in the air
  3. Mid-Term elections are finally here, and it is unlikely anyone can predict with any certainty the outcome of the elections – capital market participants hate uncertainty – not a big deal if this was all they are watching, but another juggle/worry ball up in the air
  4. Interest Rate Increase banter on how many an how long rates will increase before being “Normal” – we have discussed in great length the inverted yield curve and while we are no where near this event, yes… another juggle worry ball in the air
  5. Tarif Talk has been around all year, but looks to come to more of a peak near the end of the year – yet another worry/juggle ball up in the air

The good news is the sun will likely come out again soon, but in true rain like fashion, it seems like the days go by SLOOOOWER when your stuck inside, under cover, without sun!

The GREAT news is earnings have been for the most part very good, not GREAT and screaming as they had earlier in the year, but still very good by comparison.

MAYBE ? – we are just overdue for a correction – This fantastic chart from our friends at JPMorgan reminds us all that these type of corrections are more of the norm, not the abnorm – we have just been without regular bouts for some time!

Q4 18 JPMorgan drawdowns

Have a Great Day – Talk to you at the end of November!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
www.jkfinancialinc.com
street-cents

New York, a Skyline History Review – Cool Charts, No Drama

New York is probably getting more attention from all types of media sources at the moment – we want to chime in, but NOT in a way you may think…

From our Friends at Visual Capitalist and their successor sources

New York Skyline History –

new_york_city_evolving_skyline

But wait – here is what the future looks like!

slender-nyc-skyscrapers

Have a Great “Non Financial New York” Day!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
jkfinancialinc
street-cents

From the Road – Vault Savior – Interesting Personal Theft Story/Warning and Police Candid Response

As mentioned mid-week the road is calling and an out of state travel schedule is currently being tended to… BUT, a great personal story from last week is worth a remote review — enjoy!

What follows is the personal story from last weekend that once again highlights the handiness of our Vault – but should also pose as a warning for those possible gym rats – present party included…

Personal Theft Story

At approximately 10:00 am Saturday October 20th – a quick work out was in the cards as there was a gap between the 13 year old’s tennis match and the 10 year old’s need to be transported …..

After carefully parking underground -(tons of little guys in the YMCA garage due to soccer being moved indoors) – Wallet tossed into the cup holder, along with the car keys and a tug of the small towel to cover both items from outsiders view (unsuccessfully) …. doors locked from external key pad and heading to the stairs to climb to the ground floor…. a bad guys was scoping …

Retuning about 10:30 am, grabbing car keys and sticking wallet into the pocket the day continued –

At 10:40, 10:41 and 10:42 am three charges of $500 each (gift cards) were charged to two separate cards after the third attempt to the same card set off a fraud alert…

Funny call –

With cell phone text notification of a $500+ charge to a local grocery store – a “no” text response returned a texted phone number which was casually called …

“Fraud services, are you in possession of your card” …. Yes, of course I am ? NOPE

Three cards were missing, but the wallet was otherwise EXACTLY kept in tact so as not to alert – worked like a champ!

Four minutes later – first stolen and charged credit card is turned off – other two cards are debit cards …. AND no idea what number to call …

Vault Savior again

No idea of either debit credit card number…. no idea what phone number to call – After a quick opening of the Personal Vault which had pictures of the cards both front and back – Cards turned off ! Whew– Thank you Personal Vault !

Do you have your cards saved in your Vault?

Police Response and Report – The rest of the story –

Later in the day a full Police report was filed, grocery location and YMCA garage have full video surveillance and with such a detailed time line, an easy find ? .. will update in the future —

Fellow gym rats, this is a very common situation, especially for guys … for whatever reason – guess we tend to separate ourselves from our wallets and keys during workouts-

According to the friendly female Police officer Gonzales, this exact event occurs all the time all over the city at Gyms, and happened twice the prior weekend at my gym – fortunately this was the first incident of this weekend reported.

These are very specialized thieves that know exactly what they are doing and know how to quickly get fast cash – No they didn’t want the car, just the quick money, and on to the next unsuspecting person, hopefully not you after this story!

Have a Great “Safer Wallet” Day!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
jkfinancialinc
street-cents

Grumpy/Bumpy October Continues – Traveling Thursday and Friday

As we mentioned at the first of the month, October has a way of creating a ruckus! This October is no different….

The Bad

It has been bumpy ride, but at this point our test and re-test theme seems in tact…

10-20-18 SP 500 retest ChartWe are still a bit surprised about not being surprised on this….

The Good

This is why we are conservative by nature and as a firm…..

Earnings are coming in good….

Reinvestments are being made at better prices …

We are almost finished with October and into a “historically” a good time of the year…

We are watching, monitoring, and using this movement to get a good feel of our allocations…. and our comfort zones….

Things can change for the better rather quickly…just saying!

Travels

Tomorrow and Friday are travel days, but watch for a super post on Friday from the road concerning the Vault and a theft…

Have a Great “Bumpy October” Day!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
jkfinancialinc
street-cents

We are happy to Announce the firm is Growing – Meet Nathan Elliott Capone!

On October 11, 2018 a new member of the Capone Family was born …

Nathan Elliot Capone

Nathan Capone

Congratulations to Randi and Donald —

Great Parents, Great Family, Great sibling relationships – as you can tell from the picture.

Told ya it was BIGGER NEWS – doesn’t get any bigger …

We hope to get a glimpse at the Holiday Party – no promises, baby stuff happens and that is a quick public showing —

Very happy to announce, Randi and Donald (spoken to The Brain several times) seem great, well rested, home from the hospital,  and of course super parents….

Have a Great “New Family Member” Day!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
jkfinancialinc
street-cents

Happily honored as Dallas Magazine Best of Wealth Managers and Best Financial Planners – Holiday Reminder – Even BIGGER news next week – Friday*

We are very happy to announce our nomination to D Magazines Best Of Again !

D Magazine Best of Dallas

For those fellow Dallas Sites – be sure to check out the current Issue of D Magazine, hitting the stands first thing this am – which will have the follow awesome picture:

2018 Best Wealth Managers -

Jen and Donald picked the photo – we had tons to choose from …. from our fantastic photographer Bret – who by the way will be shooting pictures at the Holiday Party!

Can you believe they chose the picture showing the most Grey? Grrrr

When commenting on this fact, an assurance of “SEASONING” was mentioned – Ok … so you guys are still sore about the Black Eye incident – look close, Donald “The Brain” has a huge shiner, saved by Jen’s cover up …. as mentioned earlier here!

Twelfth Consecutive Financial Planner Award

Luckily, yours truly was also awarded Best Financial Planner award for the TWELFTH consecutive time … given the gray in the picture above, maybe silence is better?

It is an honor, to be named in both portions of the D Magazine Best Of Series  – Most proud to be named as a firm, to recognize those that REALLY make is possible — The Gang at J.K. Financial, Inc!!

Well done Guys !

This is also the un-official introduction of Jen Hill our new Operations Manager — more on this soon ! New York native … Deep Wall Street Background ….. Spouse Former Major League Pitcher ? All True.

Holiday Party Reminder

The following invitation is headed your way today ….  Please save the date and plan on coming, as mentioned earlier, Bret our fantastic photographer will be there – snapping possibly… Holiday Card Photos for all in attendance!

10-9-18 - Holiday Party Invitation

Friday Before Even Bigger Announcements

Today is a Friday … enjoy your day and your weekend….

In an unbelievable Announcement day – next week we have even a BIGGER Announcement – Yep, not kidding – BIGGER !!!!

Stay tuned… hold that breath … Next week will be here shortly

Have a Great “Big Announcements” Day!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
jkfinancialinc
street-cents

YEAA – Social Security Benefit Increase 2.8% – Most other Pensions to Follow too

Each year our federal government accesses the inflationary environment and makes a determination for those on Social Security as to how much, if any, of an inflationary adjustment is needed…. AKA Cola adjustment-

COLA Adjustment – Cost of Living Adjustment

Looking into 2019, those on fixed incomes with COLA or Cost of Living Adjustments, in MOST cases will see a 2.8% increase per the Social Security Administration and their flagship marker, the CPI or consumer price index…

This includes in most cases pension, and other fixed income types, as they usually (we have just run across a disconnect, but are not to the bottom of it yet) follow the same index – good for all.

Here is the last decade of adjustments from the Social Security Administration

2019 Cola SS

Social Security Tax Maximum

Ok – so the good news for those receiving fixed income could be looked at as a minor detractor for those paying the new higher Social Security Tax amount – but hey, we are all in this together –

Here is the new Social Security Tax Maximum amount with a little historical perspective for your perusal:

2019 SS Tax max and 10 year history

In 2019, the new tax maximum (said another way- the amount of money you need to earn to max your Social Security Benefit) is $132,900!

Have a great “Social Security COLA” Day!

John A. Kvale CFA, CFP

Founder of J.K. Financial, Inc.
A Dallas Texas based fee only
Financial Planning Total Wealth
Management firm.
jkfinancialinc
street-cents